United Russia holds a commanding position in the Samara Oblast legislative election due to its status as the ruling party, control of the regional executive under Governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev, and consistent dominance in prior cycles where it secured 36 of 50 seats. The parallel voting system—25 proportional representation seats with a 5% threshold and 25 single-member districts—favors established parties with strong local organization and candidate registration. Recent drone incidents damaging an election commission building and an oil facility prompted official assurances that voting preparations remain unaffected ahead of the September 18–20 contest. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited opposition viability, though late shifts in turnout or district-level surprises could theoretically alter seat totals before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日United Russia 96.8%
LDPR <1%
New People <1%
Party of Pensioners <1%
$13,285 Vol.
$13,285 Vol.
2026/09/20
United Russia
97%
LDPR
1%
New People
1%
Party of Pensioners
1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
CPRF
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 96.8%
LDPR <1%
New People <1%
Party of Pensioners <1%
$13,285 Vol.
$13,285 Vol.
2026/09/20
United Russia
$10,048 Vol.
97%
LDPR
$430 Vol.
1%
New People
$842 Vol.
1%
Party of Pensioners
$555 Vol.
1%
Communists of Russia
$659 Vol.
<1%
CPRF
$376 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia
$376 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Samara Oblast legislative election due to its status as the ruling party, control of the regional executive under Governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev, and consistent dominance in prior cycles where it secured 36 of 50 seats. The parallel voting system—25 proportional representation seats with a 5% threshold and 25 single-member districts—favors established parties with strong local organization and candidate registration. Recent drone incidents damaging an election commission building and an oil facility prompted official assurances that voting preparations remain unaffected ahead of the September 18–20 contest. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited opposition viability, though late shifts in turnout or district-level surprises could theoretically alter seat totals before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
音量
$13,285終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Samara Oblast legislative election due to its status as the ruling party, control of the regional executive under Governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev, and consistent dominance in prior cycles where it secured 36 of 50 seats. The parallel voting system—25 proportional representation seats with a 5% threshold and 25 single-member districts—favors established parties with strong local organization and candidate registration. Recent drone incidents damaging an election commission building and an oil facility prompted official assurances that voting preparations remain unaffected ahead of the September 18–20 contest. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited opposition viability, though late shifts in turnout or district-level surprises could theoretically alter seat totals before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
音量
$13,285終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding position in the Samara Oblast legislative election due to its status as the ruling party, control of the regional executive under Governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev, and consistent dominance in prior cycles where it secured 36 of 50 seats. The parallel voting system—25 proportional representation seats with a 5% threshold and 25 single-member districts—favors established parties with strong local organization and candidate registration. Recent drone incidents damaging an election commission building and an oil facility prompted official assurances that voting preparations remain unaffected ahead of the September 18–20 contest. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited opposition viability, though late shifts in turnout or district-level surprises could theoretically alter seat totals before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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