The fragmented 2028 Democratic field features prominent contenders across age brackets, including Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom in their late 50s to early 60s, Pete Buttigieg and Josh Shapiro in their mid-40s to mid-50s, and younger figures such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff in their late 30s to early 40s. Early polling and market positioning remain fluid after the 2024 cycle, with recent surveys showing Harris's lead narrowing while support rises for Newsom, Ocasio-Cortez, and Buttigieg. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty ahead of the 2026 midterms, as no candidate has declared and emphasis on generational change competes with name recognition and donor networks. Scheduled primary developments and candidate announcements could consolidate support within one bracket.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日55〜64歳 39%
45歳未満 34%
45〜54歳 28%
85歳以上 14.1%
45歳未満
24%
45〜54歳
28%
55〜64歳
25%
65~74歳
9%
75〜84歳
10%
85歳以上
14%
55〜64歳 39%
45歳未満 34%
45〜54歳 28%
85歳以上 14.1%
45歳未満
24%
45〜54歳
28%
55〜64歳
25%
65~74歳
9%
75〜84歳
10%
85歳以上
14%
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented 2028 Democratic field features prominent contenders across age brackets, including Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom in their late 50s to early 60s, Pete Buttigieg and Josh Shapiro in their mid-40s to mid-50s, and younger figures such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff in their late 30s to early 40s. Early polling and market positioning remain fluid after the 2024 cycle, with recent surveys showing Harris's lead narrowing while support rises for Newsom, Ocasio-Cortez, and Buttigieg. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty ahead of the 2026 midterms, as no candidate has declared and emphasis on generational change competes with name recognition and donor networks. Scheduled primary developments and candidate announcements could consolidate support within one bracket.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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