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icon for 2028年民主党大統領候補者の年齢は?

2028年民主党大統領候補者の年齢は?

icon for 2028年民主党大統領候補者の年齢は?

2028年民主党大統領候補者の年齢は?

55〜64歳 39%

45歳未満 34%

45〜54歳 28%

85歳以上 14.1%

Polymarket
新規

55〜64歳 39%

45歳未満 34%

45〜54歳 28%

85歳以上 14.1%

Polymarket
新規

45歳未満

$66 Vol.

24%

45〜54歳

$112 Vol.

28%

55〜64歳

$86 Vol.

25%

65~74歳

$48 Vol.

9%

75〜84歳

$53 Vol.

10%

85歳以上

$26 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. The fragmented 2028 Democratic field features prominent contenders across age brackets, including Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom in their late 50s to early 60s, Pete Buttigieg and Josh Shapiro in their mid-40s to mid-50s, and younger figures such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff in their late 30s to early 40s. Early polling and market positioning remain fluid after the 2024 cycle, with recent surveys showing Harris's lead narrowing while support rises for Newsom, Ocasio-Cortez, and Buttigieg. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty ahead of the 2026 midterms, as no candidate has declared and emphasis on generational change competes with name recognition and donor networks. Scheduled primary developments and candidate announcements could consolidate support within one bracket.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
音量
$391
終了日
2028/08/31
マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. The fragmented 2028 Democratic field features prominent contenders across age brackets, including Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom in their late 50s to early 60s, Pete Buttigieg and Josh Shapiro in their mid-40s to mid-50s, and younger figures such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff in their late 30s to early 40s. Early polling and market positioning remain fluid after the 2024 cycle, with recent surveys showing Harris's lead narrowing while support rises for Newsom, Ocasio-Cortez, and Buttigieg. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty ahead of the 2026 midterms, as no candidate has declared and emphasis on generational change competes with name recognition and donor networks. Scheduled primary developments and candidate announcements could consolidate support within one bracket.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
音量
$391
終了日
2028/08/31
マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2028年民主党大統領候補者の年齢は?」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「45〜54歳」で28%、次いで「55〜64歳」が25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、28¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に28%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「2028年民主党大統領候補者の年齢は?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 15, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「2028年民主党大統領候補者の年齢は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2028年民主党大統領候補者の年齢は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「45〜54歳」で28%であり、市場がこの結果に28%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「55〜64歳」で25%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2028年民主党大統領候補者の年齢は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。