United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election as the dominant ruling party with strong administrative resources, near-total control of single-member districts, and a mixed electoral system that favors incumbents. Recent government-affiliated polls show its party-list support holding in the low-to-mid 30s percent range amid wartime economic strains and public fatigue, though independent estimates run lower. Kremlin preparations emphasize turnout mobilization, candidate vetting through primaries, and limits on genuine opposition participation, supporting trader consensus around a comfortable majority near or above its current seat total. The spread among leading ranges (325–339 and 340–354) reflects uncertainty over district-level performance, electronic voting scale, and any late adjustments to regional targets rather than risk of losing overall control.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日325～339 35%
340–354 23%
310〜324 19.1%
355以上 12%
$184,634 Vol.
$184,634 Vol.
2026/09/20
280未満
3%
280～294
4%
295～309
7%
310〜324
19%
325～339
35%
340–354
23%
355以上
12%
325～339 35%
340–354 23%
310〜324 19.1%
355以上 12%
$184,634 Vol.
$184,634 Vol.
2026/09/20
280未満
$26,771 Vol.
3%
280～294
$16,666 Vol.
4%
295～309
$11,877 Vol.
7%
310〜324
$14,888 Vol.
19%
325～339
$27,776 Vol.
35%
340–354
$48,646 Vol.
23%
355以上
$38,009 Vol.
12%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election as the dominant ruling party with strong administrative resources, near-total control of single-member districts, and a mixed electoral system that favors incumbents. Recent government-affiliated polls show its party-list support holding in the low-to-mid 30s percent range amid wartime economic strains and public fatigue, though independent estimates run lower. Kremlin preparations emphasize turnout mobilization, candidate vetting through primaries, and limits on genuine opposition participation, supporting trader consensus around a comfortable majority near or above its current seat total. The spread among leading ranges (325–339 and 340–354) reflects uncertainty over district-level performance, electronic voting scale, and any late adjustments to regional targets rather than risk of losing overall control.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
音量
$184,634終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election as the dominant ruling party with strong administrative resources, near-total control of single-member districts, and a mixed electoral system that favors incumbents. Recent government-affiliated polls show its party-list support holding in the low-to-mid 30s percent range amid wartime economic strains and public fatigue, though independent estimates run lower. Kremlin preparations emphasize turnout mobilization, candidate vetting through primaries, and limits on genuine opposition participation, supporting trader consensus around a comfortable majority near or above its current seat total. The spread among leading ranges (325–339 and 340–354) reflects uncertainty over district-level performance, electronic voting scale, and any late adjustments to regional targets rather than risk of losing overall control.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$184,634終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election as the dominant ruling party with strong administrative resources, near-total control of single-member districts, and a mixed electoral system that favors incumbents. Recent government-affiliated polls show its party-list support holding in the low-to-mid 30s percent range amid wartime economic strains and public fatigue, though independent estimates run lower. Kremlin preparations emphasize turnout mobilization, candidate vetting through primaries, and limits on genuine opposition participation, supporting trader consensus around a comfortable majority near or above its current seat total. The spread among leading ranges (325–339 and 340–354) reflects uncertainty over district-level performance, electronic voting scale, and any late adjustments to regional targets rather than risk of losing overall control.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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