Voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent Jaunā Vienotība-led coalition over economic pressures and governance scandals has lifted populist Latvia First (LPV) to the top of recent SKDS and Gemius surveys, giving it the highest implied probability among traders for the most seats in the October 2026 Saeima vote under proportional representation. The field remains fragmented with no party exceeding 15 percent support and over 40 percent of voters undecided, allowing Progressīvie (PRO), Nacionālā Apvienība (NA), and smaller lists such as Apvienotais saraksts (AS) and Stabilitātei! (ST!) to stay viable. Historical underestimation of ruling parties and the prospect of pre-election pacts sustain JV's position, while summer polling shifts, economic data releases, or coalition announcements could still widen or narrow the gaps before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日LPV 35%
JV 26%
PRO 18.1%
NA 15%
$75,657 Vol.
$75,657 Vol.
2026/10/03
LPV
35%
JV
26%
PRO
18%
NA
15%
SV
12%
ST！
10%
AS
7%
S
1%
ZZS
<1%
LPV 35%
JV 26%
PRO 18.1%
NA 15%
$75,657 Vol.
$75,657 Vol.
2026/10/03
LPV
$2,672 Vol.
35%
JV
$5,697 Vol.
26%
PRO
$12,829 Vol.
18%
NA
$2,755 Vol.
15%
SV
$1,044 Vol.
12%
ST！
$672 Vol.
10%
AS
$878 Vol.
7%
S
$667 Vol.
1%
ZZS
$48,444 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent Jaunā Vienotība-led coalition over economic pressures and governance scandals has lifted populist Latvia First (LPV) to the top of recent SKDS and Gemius surveys, giving it the highest implied probability among traders for the most seats in the October 2026 Saeima vote under proportional representation. The field remains fragmented with no party exceeding 15 percent support and over 40 percent of voters undecided, allowing Progressīvie (PRO), Nacionālā Apvienība (NA), and smaller lists such as Apvienotais saraksts (AS) and Stabilitātei! (ST!) to stay viable. Historical underestimation of ruling parties and the prospect of pre-election pacts sustain JV's position, while summer polling shifts, economic data releases, or coalition announcements could still widen or narrow the gaps before election day.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
音量
$75,657終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent Jaunā Vienotība-led coalition over economic pressures and governance scandals has lifted populist Latvia First (LPV) to the top of recent SKDS and Gemius surveys, giving it the highest implied probability among traders for the most seats in the October 2026 Saeima vote under proportional representation. The field remains fragmented with no party exceeding 15 percent support and over 40 percent of voters undecided, allowing Progressīvie (PRO), Nacionālā Apvienība (NA), and smaller lists such as Apvienotais saraksts (AS) and Stabilitātei! (ST!) to stay viable. Historical underestimation of ruling parties and the prospect of pre-election pacts sustain JV's position, while summer polling shifts, economic data releases, or coalition announcements could still widen or narrow the gaps before election day.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
音量
$75,657終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent Jaunā Vienotība-led coalition over economic pressures and governance scandals has lifted populist Latvia First (LPV) to the top of recent SKDS and Gemius surveys, giving it the highest implied probability among traders for the most seats in the October 2026 Saeima vote under proportional representation. The field remains fragmented with no party exceeding 15 percent support and over 40 percent of voters undecided, allowing Progressīvie (PRO), Nacionālā Apvienība (NA), and smaller lists such as Apvienotais saraksts (AS) and Stabilitātei! (ST!) to stay viable. Historical underestimation of ruling parties and the prospect of pre-election pacts sustain JV's position, while summer polling shifts, economic data releases, or coalition announcements could still widen or narrow the gaps before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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