Recent SKDS polling trends through mid-July position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the consistent leader ahead of the October 3 Saeima vote, with support near 19 percent amid a fragmented field where multiple parties hover near or above the 5 percent threshold. This underpins the elevated trader-implied probability for an AS plurality or outright win. Latvia First (LPV) and Sovereign Power (SV) follow in the low-to-mid teens as populist challengers, while Progressives (PRO) trail slightly behind; governing parties including New Unity (JV) and National Alliance (NA) register weaker figures. No major late-breaking events have altered these patterns in the past month, though coalition arithmetic after election night remains a key variable for final seat outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AS 55.3%
LPV 21%
SV 16.8%
PRO 6.0%
$185,720 Vol.
$185,720 Vol.
2026/10/03
AS
55%
LPV
21%
SV
17%
PRO
6%
NA
2%
JV
2%
S
<1%
ST！
<1%
ZZS
<1%
AS 55.3%
LPV 21%
SV 16.8%
PRO 6.0%
$185,720 Vol.
$185,720 Vol.
2026/10/03
AS
$31,570 Vol.
55%
LPV
$22,240 Vol.
21%
SV
$22,188 Vol.
17%
PRO
$28,870 Vol.
6%
NA
$7,820 Vol.
2%
JV
$12,190 Vol.
2%
S
$4,579 Vol.
<1%
ST！
$3,274 Vol.
<1%
ZZS
$52,989 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent SKDS polling trends through mid-July position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the consistent leader ahead of the October 3 Saeima vote, with support near 19 percent amid a fragmented field where multiple parties hover near or above the 5 percent threshold. This underpins the elevated trader-implied probability for an AS plurality or outright win. Latvia First (LPV) and Sovereign Power (SV) follow in the low-to-mid teens as populist challengers, while Progressives (PRO) trail slightly behind; governing parties including New Unity (JV) and National Alliance (NA) register weaker figures. No major late-breaking events have altered these patterns in the past month, though coalition arithmetic after election night remains a key variable for final seat outcomes.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
音量
$185,720終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent SKDS polling trends through mid-July position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the consistent leader ahead of the October 3 Saeima vote, with support near 19 percent amid a fragmented field where multiple parties hover near or above the 5 percent threshold. This underpins the elevated trader-implied probability for an AS plurality or outright win. Latvia First (LPV) and Sovereign Power (SV) follow in the low-to-mid teens as populist challengers, while Progressives (PRO) trail slightly behind; governing parties including New Unity (JV) and National Alliance (NA) register weaker figures. No major late-breaking events have altered these patterns in the past month, though coalition arithmetic after election night remains a key variable for final seat outcomes.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
音量
$185,720終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent SKDS polling trends through mid-July position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the consistent leader ahead of the October 3 Saeima vote, with support near 19 percent amid a fragmented field where multiple parties hover near or above the 5 percent threshold. This underpins the elevated trader-implied probability for an AS plurality or outright win. Latvia First (LPV) and Sovereign Power (SV) follow in the low-to-mid teens as populist challengers, while Progressives (PRO) trail slightly behind; governing parties including New Unity (JV) and National Alliance (NA) register weaker figures. No major late-breaking events have altered these patterns in the past month, though coalition arithmetic after election night remains a key variable for final seat outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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