The recent formation of an interim four-party coalition government under Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs of the United List (AS) in late May 2026, following the collapse of the prior administration amid drone-related tensions with Russia, has positioned AS as the frontrunner. July 2026 SKDS polling shows AS ahead at around 19%, ahead of Sovereign Power (SV) and Latvia First (LPV), reflecting gains from incumbency and rural/regional support bases. Trader consensus prices AS highest due to this momentum and the party's center-right alliances, while LPV and SV trail as populist challengers drawing from dissatisfaction with prior governance. With the October 3 election weeks away, undecided voters and coalition negotiations remain key variables that could alter final seat shares in the Saeima.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AS 55.2%
LPV 22%
SV 16.7%
PRO 6.4%
$183,214 Vol.
$183,214 Vol.
2026/10/03
AS
55%
LPV
22%
SV
17%
PRO
6%
NA
2%
JV
2%
S
<1%
ZZS
<1%
ST！
<1%
AS 55.2%
LPV 22%
SV 16.7%
PRO 6.4%
$183,214 Vol.
$183,214 Vol.
2026/10/03
AS
$31,151 Vol.
55%
LPV
$22,096 Vol.
22%
SV
$21,118 Vol.
17%
PRO
$28,721 Vol.
6%
NA
$7,670 Vol.
2%
JV
$12,047 Vol.
2%
S
$4,436 Vol.
<1%
ZZS
$52,846 Vol.
<1%
ST！
$3,130 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).The recent formation of an interim four-party coalition government under Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs of the United List (AS) in late May 2026, following the collapse of the prior administration amid drone-related tensions with Russia, has positioned AS as the frontrunner. July 2026 SKDS polling shows AS ahead at around 19%, ahead of Sovereign Power (SV) and Latvia First (LPV), reflecting gains from incumbency and rural/regional support bases. Trader consensus prices AS highest due to this momentum and the party's center-right alliances, while LPV and SV trail as populist challengers drawing from dissatisfaction with prior governance. With the October 3 election weeks away, undecided voters and coalition negotiations remain key variables that could alter final seat shares in the Saeima.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
音量
$183,214終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).The recent formation of an interim four-party coalition government under Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs of the United List (AS) in late May 2026, following the collapse of the prior administration amid drone-related tensions with Russia, has positioned AS as the frontrunner. July 2026 SKDS polling shows AS ahead at around 19%, ahead of Sovereign Power (SV) and Latvia First (LPV), reflecting gains from incumbency and rural/regional support bases. Trader consensus prices AS highest due to this momentum and the party's center-right alliances, while LPV and SV trail as populist challengers drawing from dissatisfaction with prior governance. With the October 3 election weeks away, undecided voters and coalition negotiations remain key variables that could alter final seat shares in the Saeima.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
音量
$183,214終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The recent formation of an interim four-party coalition government under Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs of the United List (AS) in late May 2026, following the collapse of the prior administration amid drone-related tensions with Russia, has positioned AS as the frontrunner. July 2026 SKDS polling shows AS ahead at around 19%, ahead of Sovereign Power (SV) and Latvia First (LPV), reflecting gains from incumbency and rural/regional support bases. Trader consensus prices AS highest due to this momentum and the party's center-right alliances, while LPV and SV trail as populist challengers drawing from dissatisfaction with prior governance. With the October 3 election weeks away, undecided voters and coalition negotiations remain key variables that could alter final seat shares in the Saeima.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問