United Russia's dominant position in the 2026 State Duma election reflects its control of Russia's mixed electoral system, administrative resources, and campaign strategy centered on candidates with Ukraine conflict experience. Party preparations include electronic primaries, leadership rotation, and a federal list headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev alongside military correspondents and veterans to reinforce alignment with state priorities. Other parties encounter a 5% threshold, restricted media access, and institutional constraints that limit their reach. Recent polling indicates modest movement for New People, yet the ruling party's structural advantages sustain trader consensus on continuity. Scenarios capable of altering the outcome remain narrow and would require major economic shocks, security incidents, or abrupt leadership transitions before the September vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日統一ロシア（ER） 95.7%
新しい人々（NL） 2.3%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 1.0%
公正ロシア・祖国のための真実（SRZP） <1%
$1,346,778 Vol.
$1,346,778 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
96%
新しい人々（NL）
2%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
1%
公正ロシア・祖国のための真実（SRZP）
1%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
<1%
ロジナ
<1%
市民プラットフォーム（GP）
<1%
統一ロシア（ER） 95.7%
新しい人々（NL） 2.3%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 1.0%
公正ロシア・祖国のための真実（SRZP） <1%
$1,346,778 Vol.
$1,346,778 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
$521,107 Vol.
96%
新しい人々（NL）
$80,703 Vol.
2%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
$103,899 Vol.
1%
公正ロシア・祖国のための真実（SRZP）
$228,803 Vol.
1%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
$79,346 Vol.
<1%
ロジナ
$222,577 Vol.
<1%
市民プラットフォーム（GP）
$110,343 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's dominant position in the 2026 State Duma election reflects its control of Russia's mixed electoral system, administrative resources, and campaign strategy centered on candidates with Ukraine conflict experience. Party preparations include electronic primaries, leadership rotation, and a federal list headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev alongside military correspondents and veterans to reinforce alignment with state priorities. Other parties encounter a 5% threshold, restricted media access, and institutional constraints that limit their reach. Recent polling indicates modest movement for New People, yet the ruling party's structural advantages sustain trader consensus on continuity. Scenarios capable of altering the outcome remain narrow and would require major economic shocks, security incidents, or abrupt leadership transitions before the September vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
音量
$1,346,778終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's dominant position in the 2026 State Duma election reflects its control of Russia's mixed electoral system, administrative resources, and campaign strategy centered on candidates with Ukraine conflict experience. Party preparations include electronic primaries, leadership rotation, and a federal list headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev alongside military correspondents and veterans to reinforce alignment with state priorities. Other parties encounter a 5% threshold, restricted media access, and institutional constraints that limit their reach. Recent polling indicates modest movement for New People, yet the ruling party's structural advantages sustain trader consensus on continuity. Scenarios capable of altering the outcome remain narrow and would require major economic shocks, security incidents, or abrupt leadership transitions before the September vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
音量
$1,346,778終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia's dominant position in the 2026 State Duma election reflects its control of Russia's mixed electoral system, administrative resources, and campaign strategy centered on candidates with Ukraine conflict experience. Party preparations include electronic primaries, leadership rotation, and a federal list headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev alongside military correspondents and veterans to reinforce alignment with state priorities. Other parties encounter a 5% threshold, restricted media access, and institutional constraints that limit their reach. Recent polling indicates modest movement for New People, yet the ruling party's structural advantages sustain trader consensus on continuity. Scenarios capable of altering the outcome remain narrow and would require major economic shocks, security incidents, or abrupt leadership transitions before the September vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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