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icon for オタワ市長選挙の勝者

オタワ市長選挙の勝者

icon for オタワ市長選挙の勝者

オタワ市長選挙の勝者

マーク・サトクリフ 63%

ジェフ・ライパー 20%

アレックス・ローソン 15.0%

キャサリン・マッケニー 1.5%

Polymarket

$62,503 Vol.

マーク・サトクリフ 63%

ジェフ・ライパー 20%

アレックス・ローソン 15.0%

キャサリン・マッケニー 1.5%

Polymarket

$62,503 Vol.

icon for マーク・サトクリフ

マーク・サトクリフ

$28,011 Vol.

63%

icon for ジェフ・ライパー

ジェフ・ライパー

$12,043 Vol.

20%

icon for アレックス・ローソン

アレックス・ローソン

$15,536 Vol.

15%

icon for キャサリン・マッケニー

キャサリン・マッケニー

$3,296 Vol.

2%

icon for ニール・サラバナムットゥ

ニール・サラバナムットゥ

$3,617 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.Incumbent Mark Sutcliffe maintains a clear lead in the October 26, 2026 Ottawa mayoral race, supported by his established position and a divided field of challengers that fragments opposition support. Recent July polling from Liaison Strategies showed Sutcliffe at 36% among decided voters, ahead of homebuilder Alex Lawson and city councillor Jeff Leiper, each near 25-26%, with Neil Saravanamuttoo further back; high undecided shares around 34% have not yet consolidated against the mayor. Traders assign Sutcliffe the highest probability at 63%, reflecting his incumbency edge and the absence of a dominant alternative. Policy debates, including divisions over a proposed ring road for traffic relief, continue to shape campaign positioning without shifting the overall standings in recent weeks. Nominations remain open until late August.

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
音量
$62,503
終了日
2026/10/26
マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.Incumbent Mark Sutcliffe maintains a clear lead in the October 26, 2026 Ottawa mayoral race, supported by his established position and a divided field of challengers that fragments opposition support. Recent July polling from Liaison Strategies showed Sutcliffe at 36% among decided voters, ahead of homebuilder Alex Lawson and city councillor Jeff Leiper, each near 25-26%, with Neil Saravanamuttoo further back; high undecided shares around 34% have not yet consolidated against the mayor. Traders assign Sutcliffe the highest probability at 63%, reflecting his incumbency edge and the absence of a dominant alternative. Policy debates, including divisions over a proposed ring road for traffic relief, continue to shape campaign positioning without shifting the overall standings in recent weeks. Nominations remain open until late August.

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
音量
$62,503
終了日
2026/10/26
マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.

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よくある質問

「オタワ市長選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マーク・サトクリフ」で63%、次いで「ジェフ・ライパー」が20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、63¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に63%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「オタワ市長選挙の勝者」は$62.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 2, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「オタワ市長選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「オタワ市長選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「マーク・サトクリフ」で63%であり、市場がこの結果に63%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジェフ・ライパー」で20%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「オタワ市長選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。