Incumbent Mark Sutcliffe maintains a clear lead in the October 26, 2026 Ottawa mayoral race, supported by his established position and a divided field of challengers that fragments opposition support. Recent July polling from Liaison Strategies showed Sutcliffe at 36% among decided voters, ahead of homebuilder Alex Lawson and city councillor Jeff Leiper, each near 25-26%, with Neil Saravanamuttoo further back; high undecided shares around 34% have not yet consolidated against the mayor. Traders assign Sutcliffe the highest probability at 63%, reflecting his incumbency edge and the absence of a dominant alternative. Policy debates, including divisions over a proposed ring road for traffic relief, continue to shape campaign positioning without shifting the overall standings in recent weeks. Nominations remain open until late August.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マーク・サトクリフ 63%
ジェフ・ライパー 20%
アレックス・ローソン 15.0%
キャサリン・マッケニー 1.5%
$62,503 Vol.
$62,503 Vol.

マーク・サトクリフ
63%

ジェフ・ライパー
20%

アレックス・ローソン
15%

キャサリン・マッケニー
2%

ニール・サラバナムットゥ
<1%
マーク・サトクリフ 63%
ジェフ・ライパー 20%
アレックス・ローソン 15.0%
キャサリン・マッケニー 1.5%
$62,503 Vol.
$62,503 Vol.

マーク・サトクリフ
63%

ジェフ・ライパー
20%

アレックス・ローソン
15%

キャサリン・マッケニー
2%

ニール・サラバナムットゥ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
マーケット開始日: Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mark Sutcliffe maintains a clear lead in the October 26, 2026 Ottawa mayoral race, supported by his established position and a divided field of challengers that fragments opposition support. Recent July polling from Liaison Strategies showed Sutcliffe at 36% among decided voters, ahead of homebuilder Alex Lawson and city councillor Jeff Leiper, each near 25-26%, with Neil Saravanamuttoo further back; high undecided shares around 34% have not yet consolidated against the mayor. Traders assign Sutcliffe the highest probability at 63%, reflecting his incumbency edge and the absence of a dominant alternative. Policy debates, including divisions over a proposed ring road for traffic relief, continue to shape campaign positioning without shifting the overall standings in recent weeks. Nominations remain open until late August.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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