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icon for Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Elections·NYC Mayor

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

icon for Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Elections·NYC Mayor

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

12月 31

12月 31

7% 確率
Polymarket

$26,358 Vol.

7% 確率
Polymarket

$26,358 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Zohran Mamdani, naturalized as a U.S. citizen in 2018 after arriving from Uganda as a child, faces no active denaturalization proceedings as of mid-2026 despite 2025 calls from Republican lawmakers for DOJ review over alleged nondisclosure tied to political associations. Denaturalization requires judicial order and proof of willful, material misrepresentation by clear and convincing evidence—a high bar with limited precedent outside criminal fraud cases. Fact-checkers and immigration experts have assessed the claims as lacking legal foundation, and Mamdani continues serving as New York City mayor without eligibility challenges. Trader consensus at 94% for no revocation before 2027 reflects these structural barriers and the absence of advancing official action.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$26,358
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 1:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Zohran Mamdani, naturalized as a U.S. citizen in 2018 after arriving from Uganda as a child, faces no active denaturalization proceedings as of mid-2026 despite 2025 calls from Republican lawmakers for DOJ review over alleged nondisclosure tied to political associations. Denaturalization requires judicial order and proof of willful, material misrepresentation by clear and convincing evidence—a high bar with limited precedent outside criminal fraud cases. Fact-checkers and immigration experts have assessed the claims as lacking legal foundation, and Mamdani continues serving as New York City mayor without eligibility challenges. Trader consensus at 94% for no revocation before 2027 reflects these structural barriers and the absence of advancing official action.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$26,358
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 1:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して7%です。例えば、「はい」が7¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を7%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?」は$26.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 5, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して7%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を7%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。