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政治·カナダ

ウィニペグ市長選挙

icon for ウィニペグ市長選挙
政治·カナダ

ウィニペグ市長選挙

Scott Gillingham 75%

Johnny Calderon 7%

Umar Hayat 7%

Joshua Pagdato 6%

Polymarket
新規

Scott Gillingham 75%

Johnny Calderon 7%

Umar Hayat 7%

Joshua Pagdato 6%

Polymarket
新規
icon for Scott Gillingham

Scott Gillingham

$1,427 Vol.

75%

icon for Johnny Calderon

Johnny Calderon

$48 Vol.

7%

icon for Umar Hayat

Umar Hayat

$50 Vol.

7%

icon for Joshua Pagdato

Joshua Pagdato

$49 Vol.

6%

icon for Michael Vogiatzakis

Michael Vogiatzakis

$50 Vol.

6%

icon for Mazher Alam

Mazher Alam

$50 Vol.

5%

icon for Noah Redden

Noah Redden

$57 Vol.

5%

icon for Christopher Clacio

Christopher Clacio

$49 Vol.

4%

icon for Zachary Uminski

Zachary Uminski

$40 Vol.

3%

icon for Don Woodstock

Don Woodstock

$30 Vol.

2%

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.Scott Gillingham, the incumbent Winnipeg mayor seeking a second term in the October 2026 municipal election, holds a commanding lead in trader pricing amid a crowded field of registered challengers including Johnny Calderon, Umar Hayat, Joshua Pagdato, Michael Vogiatzakis, Mazher Alam, Noah Redden, Christopher Clacio, and others. A June 2026 Probe Research poll indicated substantial voter dissatisfaction, with only 19 percent favoring his re-election and 46 percent preferring a different mayor, though few respondents saw strong alternatives among the novices and repeat candidates. Recent candidate registrations have expanded the ballot without producing a clear frontrunner to consolidate opposition, reinforcing Gillingham's advantage through incumbency and name recognition ahead of the vote.

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
音量
$1,850
終了日
2026/10/28
マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 3:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.Scott Gillingham, the incumbent Winnipeg mayor seeking a second term in the October 2026 municipal election, holds a commanding lead in trader pricing amid a crowded field of registered challengers including Johnny Calderon, Umar Hayat, Joshua Pagdato, Michael Vogiatzakis, Mazher Alam, Noah Redden, Christopher Clacio, and others. A June 2026 Probe Research poll indicated substantial voter dissatisfaction, with only 19 percent favoring his re-election and 46 percent preferring a different mayor, though few respondents saw strong alternatives among the novices and repeat candidates. Recent candidate registrations have expanded the ballot without producing a clear frontrunner to consolidate opposition, reinforcing Gillingham's advantage through incumbency and name recognition ahead of the vote.

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
音量
$1,850
終了日
2026/10/28
マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 3:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.

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外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ウィニペグ市長選挙」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Scott Gillingham」で75%、次いで「Johnny Calderon」が7%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、75¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に75%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ウィニペグ市長選挙」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Aug 10, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ウィニペグ市長選挙」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ウィニペグ市長選挙」の現在のフロントランナーは「Scott Gillingham」で75%であり、市場がこの結果に75%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Johnny Calderon」で7%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ウィニペグ市長選挙」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。