Russia's ruling United Russia party enters the September 2026 legislative and regional elections with strong institutional advantages, including redrawn constituencies, expanded remote electronic voting in nearly half the regions, and three-day polling that have historically delivered overwhelming majorities. The party already controls majorities in all but four regional legislatures, and Kremlin-aligned candidates swept nearly every gubernatorial and legislative contest in 2025 amid limited genuine opposition. Recent adjustments lowered vote targets in some areas amid softer approval ratings, yet authorities continue emphasizing high turnout and party dominance. These structural factors and the absence of competitive challenges underpin the current trader consensus around a 58.5% probability that United Russia secures every region.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
59% 確率
$44,884 Vol.
$44,884 Vol.
2026/09/20
はい
59% 確率
$44,884 Vol.
$44,884 Vol.
2026/09/20
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's ruling United Russia party enters the September 2026 legislative and regional elections with strong institutional advantages, including redrawn constituencies, expanded remote electronic voting in nearly half the regions, and three-day polling that have historically delivered overwhelming majorities. The party already controls majorities in all but four regional legislatures, and Kremlin-aligned candidates swept nearly every gubernatorial and legislative contest in 2025 amid limited genuine opposition. Recent adjustments lowered vote targets in some areas amid softer approval ratings, yet authorities continue emphasizing high turnout and party dominance. These structural factors and the absence of competitive challenges underpin the current trader consensus around a 58.5% probability that United Russia secures every region.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ET
音量
$44,884終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's ruling United Russia party enters the September 2026 legislative and regional elections with strong institutional advantages, including redrawn constituencies, expanded remote electronic voting in nearly half the regions, and three-day polling that have historically delivered overwhelming majorities. The party already controls majorities in all but four regional legislatures, and Kremlin-aligned candidates swept nearly every gubernatorial and legislative contest in 2025 amid limited genuine opposition. Recent adjustments lowered vote targets in some areas amid softer approval ratings, yet authorities continue emphasizing high turnout and party dominance. These structural factors and the absence of competitive challenges underpin the current trader consensus around a 58.5% probability that United Russia secures every region.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$44,884終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's ruling United Russia party enters the September 2026 legislative and regional elections with strong institutional advantages, including redrawn constituencies, expanded remote electronic voting in nearly half the regions, and three-day polling that have historically delivered overwhelming majorities. The party already controls majorities in all but four regional legislatures, and Kremlin-aligned candidates swept nearly every gubernatorial and legislative contest in 2025 amid limited genuine opposition. Recent adjustments lowered vote targets in some areas amid softer approval ratings, yet authorities continue emphasizing high turnout and party dominance. These structural factors and the absence of competitive challenges underpin the current trader consensus around a 58.5% probability that United Russia secures every region.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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