In Mato Grosso do Sul’s agribusiness-heavy electorate, trader odds reflect a fragmented first-round contest ahead of the October 4 vote, with no candidate holding a decisive edge. National polling shows President Lula leading Senator Flávio Bolsonaro overall, yet the state’s conservative leanings and economic priorities boost right-leaning options including Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, while vote-splitting among multiple contenders keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Recent campaign launches on August 16, completed party conventions, and the absence of major late-breaking state-specific events have sustained this balance, with local turnout patterns and potential endorsements or regional economic signals likely to create separation before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Ronaldo Caiado 40%
Pablo Marçal 39%
Zema 37%
Escritor Augusto Cury 36%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
Ronaldo Caiado
40%
Pablo Marçal
39%
Zema
37%
Escritor Augusto Cury
36%
Samara
35%
Lula
35%
Edmilson Costa
33%
Flavio Bolsonaro
32%
Clariana Barao
32%
Renan Santos
32%
Hertz Dias
31%
Rui Costa Pimenta
10%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
11%
Ronaldo Caiado 40%
Pablo Marçal 39%
Zema 37%
Escritor Augusto Cury 36%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
Ronaldo Caiado
$0 Vol.
40%
Pablo Marçal
$0 Vol.
39%
Zema
$0 Vol.
37%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$0 Vol.
36%
Samara
$0 Vol.
35%
Lula
$0 Vol.
35%
Edmilson Costa
$0 Vol.
33%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$0 Vol.
32%
Clariana Barao
$0 Vol.
32%
Renan Santos
$0 Vol.
32%
Hertz Dias
$0 Vol.
31%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$23 Vol.
10%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$0 Vol.
11%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).In Mato Grosso do Sul’s agribusiness-heavy electorate, trader odds reflect a fragmented first-round contest ahead of the October 4 vote, with no candidate holding a decisive edge. National polling shows President Lula leading Senator Flávio Bolsonaro overall, yet the state’s conservative leanings and economic priorities boost right-leaning options including Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, while vote-splitting among multiple contenders keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Recent campaign launches on August 16, completed party conventions, and the absence of major late-breaking state-specific events have sustained this balance, with local turnout patterns and potential endorsements or regional economic signals likely to create separation before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
音量
$23終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).In Mato Grosso do Sul’s agribusiness-heavy electorate, trader odds reflect a fragmented first-round contest ahead of the October 4 vote, with no candidate holding a decisive edge. National polling shows President Lula leading Senator Flávio Bolsonaro overall, yet the state’s conservative leanings and economic priorities boost right-leaning options including Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, while vote-splitting among multiple contenders keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Recent campaign launches on August 16, completed party conventions, and the absence of major late-breaking state-specific events have sustained this balance, with local turnout patterns and potential endorsements or regional economic signals likely to create separation before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$23終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Mato Grosso do Sul’s agribusiness-heavy electorate, trader odds reflect a fragmented first-round contest ahead of the October 4 vote, with no candidate holding a decisive edge. National polling shows President Lula leading Senator Flávio Bolsonaro overall, yet the state’s conservative leanings and economic priorities boost right-leaning options including Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, while vote-splitting among multiple contenders keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Recent campaign launches on August 16, completed party conventions, and the absence of major late-breaking state-specific events have sustained this balance, with local turnout patterns and potential endorsements or regional economic signals likely to create separation before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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