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icon for テキサス州鉄道コミッショナー選挙の勝者

テキサス州鉄道コミッショナー選挙の勝者

icon for テキサス州鉄道コミッショナー選挙の勝者

テキサス州鉄道コミッショナー選挙の勝者

Polymarket
新規
Polymarket
新規
icon for ジョン・ローゼンタール(民主党)

ジョン・ローゼンタール(民主党)

$301 Vol.

57%

icon for ボー・フレンチ(共和党)

ボー・フレンチ(共和党)

$386 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.The 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner race remains closely contested, with traders assigning Jon Rosenthal (D) the highest implied probability amid high undecided shares and limited name recognition for both nominees. Bo French secured the Republican nomination by narrowly defeating incumbent Jim Wright in the May primary runoff, capitalizing on hardline conservative messaging, while Rosenthal advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary as a state representative and former oil-field engineer. Recent polling from July and August showed French holding a slim edge, yet the contest features elevated undecided voters compared with other statewide races. French's September social media activity drew Republican criticism, potentially influencing trader assessments of general-election viability. Energy regulation, campaign fundraising gaps, and crossover appeal among independents continue to shape positioning ahead of the November vote, with Arthur DiBianca (L) also on the ballot.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
音量
$686
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.The 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner race remains closely contested, with traders assigning Jon Rosenthal (D) the highest implied probability amid high undecided shares and limited name recognition for both nominees. Bo French secured the Republican nomination by narrowly defeating incumbent Jim Wright in the May primary runoff, capitalizing on hardline conservative messaging, while Rosenthal advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary as a state representative and former oil-field engineer. Recent polling from July and August showed French holding a slim edge, yet the contest features elevated undecided voters compared with other statewide races. French's September social media activity drew Republican criticism, potentially influencing trader assessments of general-election viability. Energy regulation, campaign fundraising gaps, and crossover appeal among independents continue to shape positioning ahead of the November vote, with Arthur DiBianca (L) also on the ballot.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
音量
$686
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「テキサス州鉄道コミッショナー選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジョン・ローゼンタール(民主党)」で57%、次いで「ボー・フレンチ(共和党)」が43%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、57¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に57%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「テキサス州鉄道コミッショナー選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 14, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「テキサス州鉄道コミッショナー選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「テキサス州鉄道コミッショナー選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ジョン・ローゼンタール(民主党)」で57%であり、市場がこの結果に57%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ボー・フレンチ(共和党)」で43%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「テキサス州鉄道コミッショナー選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。