Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad secured his party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 90 percent of the vote in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, while Democrat Jake Johnson won the opposing primary. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+6 and has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, including Finstad's 2024 victory. Cook Political Report currently rates the general election contest as Likely Republican. These structural factors, combined with the absence of primary surprises or major national shifts affecting the race since the primaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 3 general election. The margin reflects both the district's baseline lean and remaining uncertainty around turnout and broader midterm dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,940 Vol.
$24,940 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
64%
民主党
31%
$24,940 Vol.
$24,940 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$10,360 Vol.
64%
民主党
$14,580 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad secured his party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 90 percent of the vote in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, while Democrat Jake Johnson won the opposing primary. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+6 and has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, including Finstad's 2024 victory. Cook Political Report currently rates the general election contest as Likely Republican. These structural factors, combined with the absence of primary surprises or major national shifts affecting the race since the primaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 3 general election. The margin reflects both the district's baseline lean and remaining uncertainty around turnout and broader midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$24,940終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad secured his party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 90 percent of the vote in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, while Democrat Jake Johnson won the opposing primary. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+6 and has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, including Finstad's 2024 victory. Cook Political Report currently rates the general election contest as Likely Republican. These structural factors, combined with the absence of primary surprises or major national shifts affecting the race since the primaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 3 general election. The margin reflects both the district's baseline lean and remaining uncertainty around turnout and broader midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,940終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad secured his party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 90 percent of the vote in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, while Democrat Jake Johnson won the opposing primary. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+6 and has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, including Finstad's 2024 victory. Cook Political Report currently rates the general election contest as Likely Republican. These structural factors, combined with the absence of primary surprises or major national shifts affecting the race since the primaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 3 general election. The margin reflects both the district's baseline lean and remaining uncertainty around turnout and broader midterm dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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