The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate, has solidified Democratic advantages in the November 2026 general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 reflects consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and congressional cycles, limiting Republican opportunities despite the vacancy. Primary developments, including the May 2026 DFL convention endorsement of former state Sen. Matt Little, have clarified the Democratic field ahead of the August 11 primary, while Republican candidates such as state Sen. Eric Pratt remain underfunded relative to the general-election contest. Traders view these structural factors and the district’s suburban demographics as maintaining Democratic control at high probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
86%
共和党
18%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$99 Vol.
86%
共和党
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate, has solidified Democratic advantages in the November 2026 general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 reflects consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and congressional cycles, limiting Republican opportunities despite the vacancy. Primary developments, including the May 2026 DFL convention endorsement of former state Sen. Matt Little, have clarified the Democratic field ahead of the August 11 primary, while Republican candidates such as state Sen. Eric Pratt remain underfunded relative to the general-election contest. Traders view these structural factors and the district’s suburban demographics as maintaining Democratic control at high probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
音量
$99終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate, has solidified Democratic advantages in the November 2026 general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 reflects consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and congressional cycles, limiting Republican opportunities despite the vacancy. Primary developments, including the May 2026 DFL convention endorsement of former state Sen. Matt Little, have clarified the Democratic field ahead of the August 11 primary, while Republican candidates such as state Sen. Eric Pratt remain underfunded relative to the general-election contest. Traders view these structural factors and the district’s suburban demographics as maintaining Democratic control at high probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$99終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate, has solidified Democratic advantages in the November 2026 general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 reflects consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and congressional cycles, limiting Republican opportunities despite the vacancy. Primary developments, including the May 2026 DFL convention endorsement of former state Sen. Matt Little, have clarified the Democratic field ahead of the August 11 primary, while Republican candidates such as state Sen. Eric Pratt remain underfunded relative to the general-election contest. Traders view these structural factors and the district’s suburban demographics as maintaining Democratic control at high probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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