Georgia's 13th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+21 Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 94.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. This commanding position stems from the district's entrenched blue lean in metro Atlanta suburbs, including DeKalb and Clayton counties, where Democrats captured 72% in the last general election amid overwhelming Democratic registration and turnout advantages. Rep. David Scott's death on April 22 upended the May 19 Democratic primary into an open-seat scramble, while six candidates—four Democrats and two Republicans—qualified by May 13 for the July 28 special election to fill the vacancy through January. GOP odds at 3.9% reflect structural barriers, though a Democratic nominee scandal, exceptionally low turnout, or national Republican wave could shift dynamics before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,439 Vol.
$21,439 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
$21,439 Vol.
$21,439 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,024 Vol.
95%
共和党
$15,414 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 13th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+21 Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 94.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. This commanding position stems from the district's entrenched blue lean in metro Atlanta suburbs, including DeKalb and Clayton counties, where Democrats captured 72% in the last general election amid overwhelming Democratic registration and turnout advantages. Rep. David Scott's death on April 22 upended the May 19 Democratic primary into an open-seat scramble, while six candidates—four Democrats and two Republicans—qualified by May 13 for the July 28 special election to fill the vacancy through January. GOP odds at 3.9% reflect structural barriers, though a Democratic nominee scandal, exceptionally low turnout, or national Republican wave could shift dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$21,439終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 13th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+21 Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 94.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. This commanding position stems from the district's entrenched blue lean in metro Atlanta suburbs, including DeKalb and Clayton counties, where Democrats captured 72% in the last general election amid overwhelming Democratic registration and turnout advantages. Rep. David Scott's death on April 22 upended the May 19 Democratic primary into an open-seat scramble, while six candidates—four Democrats and two Republicans—qualified by May 13 for the July 28 special election to fill the vacancy through January. GOP odds at 3.9% reflect structural barriers, though a Democratic nominee scandal, exceptionally low turnout, or national Republican wave could shift dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,439終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 13th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+21 Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 94.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. This commanding position stems from the district's entrenched blue lean in metro Atlanta suburbs, including DeKalb and Clayton counties, where Democrats captured 72% in the last general election amid overwhelming Democratic registration and turnout advantages. Rep. David Scott's death on April 22 upended the May 19 Democratic primary into an open-seat scramble, while six candidates—four Democrats and two Republicans—qualified by May 13 for the July 28 special election to fill the vacancy through January. GOP odds at 3.9% reflect structural barriers, though a Democratic nominee scandal, exceptionally low turnout, or national Republican wave could shift dynamics before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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