Incumbent Republican John Joyce holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 13th congressional district, a rural South Central area that has consistently supported GOP candidates. His 2024 reelection with over 74 percent of the vote, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Lean or Likely Republican, underpins the 94.5 percent market odds for the Republican Party. Limited Democratic opposition from Beth Farnham and absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments reinforce trader consensus around continuity. A late scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such reversals improbable before the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,316 Vol.
$15,316 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$15,316 Vol.
$15,316 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$9,886 Vol.
95%
民主党
$5,430 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Joyce holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 13th congressional district, a rural South Central area that has consistently supported GOP candidates. His 2024 reelection with over 74 percent of the vote, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Lean or Likely Republican, underpins the 94.5 percent market odds for the Republican Party. Limited Democratic opposition from Beth Farnham and absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments reinforce trader consensus around continuity. A late scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such reversals improbable before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$15,316終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Joyce holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 13th congressional district, a rural South Central area that has consistently supported GOP candidates. His 2024 reelection with over 74 percent of the vote, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Lean or Likely Republican, underpins the 94.5 percent market odds for the Republican Party. Limited Democratic opposition from Beth Farnham and absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments reinforce trader consensus around continuity. A late scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such reversals improbable before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,316終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Joyce holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 13th congressional district, a rural South Central area that has consistently supported GOP candidates. His 2024 reelection with over 74 percent of the vote, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Lean or Likely Republican, underpins the 94.5 percent market odds for the Republican Party. Limited Democratic opposition from Beth Farnham and absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments reinforce trader consensus around continuity. A late scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such reversals improbable before the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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