North Dakota's at-large congressional district, rated R+18 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus assigning over 95% implied probability to a Republican House election winner on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak, who secured a 39-point margin in 2024, announced her reelection campaign in January and is forgoing the NDGOP endorsement convention to focus on the June 9 Republican primary against challenger Alex Balazs. Democrat Trygve Hammer faces no primary opposition. Absent a primary upset nominating a weaker Republican, major scandal, health issue for the nominee, or unprecedented national Democratic wave, the GOP's structural advantages in this deep-red state sustain the commanding odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$37,290 Vol.
$37,290 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
96%
民主党
4%
$37,290 Vol.
$37,290 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$22,422 Vol.
96%
民主党
$14,868 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional district, rated R+18 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus assigning over 95% implied probability to a Republican House election winner on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak, who secured a 39-point margin in 2024, announced her reelection campaign in January and is forgoing the NDGOP endorsement convention to focus on the June 9 Republican primary against challenger Alex Balazs. Democrat Trygve Hammer faces no primary opposition. Absent a primary upset nominating a weaker Republican, major scandal, health issue for the nominee, or unprecedented national Democratic wave, the GOP's structural advantages in this deep-red state sustain the commanding odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$37,290終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional district, rated R+18 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus assigning over 95% implied probability to a Republican House election winner on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak, who secured a 39-point margin in 2024, announced her reelection campaign in January and is forgoing the NDGOP endorsement convention to focus on the June 9 Republican primary against challenger Alex Balazs. Democrat Trygve Hammer faces no primary opposition. Absent a primary upset nominating a weaker Republican, major scandal, health issue for the nominee, or unprecedented national Democratic wave, the GOP's structural advantages in this deep-red state sustain the commanding odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$37,290終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota's at-large congressional district, rated R+18 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus assigning over 95% implied probability to a Republican House election winner on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak, who secured a 39-point margin in 2024, announced her reelection campaign in January and is forgoing the NDGOP endorsement convention to focus on the June 9 Republican primary against challenger Alex Balazs. Democrat Trygve Hammer faces no primary opposition. Absent a primary upset nominating a weaker Republican, major scandal, health issue for the nominee, or unprecedented national Democratic wave, the GOP's structural advantages in this deep-red state sustain the commanding odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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