North Dakota's at-large House seat carries a pronounced Republican structural advantage, reflected in trader pricing that assigns the party a commanding lead. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured the Republican nomination after defeating her primary challenger in June 2026, building on her 2024 general-election margin of nearly 40 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, citing the state's consistent partisan lean, the incumbent's name recognition and fundraising edge, and the absence of a competitive Democratic nominee or polling movement that would indicate vulnerability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, late-breaking scandal, or health-related development affecting the incumbent, though no such catalysts have emerged in the current cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$52,621 Vol.
$52,621 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
4%
$52,621 Vol.
$52,621 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$35,860 Vol.
94%
民主党
$16,761 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large House seat carries a pronounced Republican structural advantage, reflected in trader pricing that assigns the party a commanding lead. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured the Republican nomination after defeating her primary challenger in June 2026, building on her 2024 general-election margin of nearly 40 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, citing the state's consistent partisan lean, the incumbent's name recognition and fundraising edge, and the absence of a competitive Democratic nominee or polling movement that would indicate vulnerability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, late-breaking scandal, or health-related development affecting the incumbent, though no such catalysts have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$52,621終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large House seat carries a pronounced Republican structural advantage, reflected in trader pricing that assigns the party a commanding lead. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured the Republican nomination after defeating her primary challenger in June 2026, building on her 2024 general-election margin of nearly 40 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, citing the state's consistent partisan lean, the incumbent's name recognition and fundraising edge, and the absence of a competitive Democratic nominee or polling movement that would indicate vulnerability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, late-breaking scandal, or health-related development affecting the incumbent, though no such catalysts have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$52,621終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota's at-large House seat carries a pronounced Republican structural advantage, reflected in trader pricing that assigns the party a commanding lead. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured the Republican nomination after defeating her primary challenger in June 2026, building on her 2024 general-election margin of nearly 40 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, citing the state's consistent partisan lean, the incumbent's name recognition and fundraising edge, and the absence of a competitive Democratic nominee or polling movement that would indicate vulnerability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, late-breaking scandal, or health-related development affecting the incumbent, though no such catalysts have emerged in the current cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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