Idaho’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with over 78 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Kaylee Peterson in the November general election. Recent July polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, consistent with the district’s voting patterns and the absence of major competitive shifts or national headwinds. Trader consensus at 94.8 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural advantages. Late developments that could alter the outlook remain limited to unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan tilt.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$48,155 Vol.
$48,155 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
95%
民主党
4%
$48,155 Vol.
$48,155 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$32,526 Vol.
95%
民主党
$15,629 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with over 78 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Kaylee Peterson in the November general election. Recent July polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, consistent with the district’s voting patterns and the absence of major competitive shifts or national headwinds. Trader consensus at 94.8 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural advantages. Late developments that could alter the outlook remain limited to unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$48,155終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with over 78 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Kaylee Peterson in the November general election. Recent July polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, consistent with the district’s voting patterns and the absence of major competitive shifts or national headwinds. Trader consensus at 94.8 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural advantages. Late developments that could alter the outlook remain limited to unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$48,155終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with over 78 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Kaylee Peterson in the November general election. Recent July polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, consistent with the district’s voting patterns and the absence of major competitive shifts or national headwinds. Trader consensus at 94.8 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural advantages. Late developments that could alter the outlook remain limited to unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan tilt.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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