Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster holds a commanding position in Illinois’ 11th congressional district, a suburban Chicago seat that has supported Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Foster’s uncontested March primary and established record on local economic and infrastructure issues have reinforced trader consensus around the party’s 91.5 percent implied probability. Republican nominee Jeff Walter emerged from a four-way primary on March 17 that divided party resources and attention, leaving the general-election campaign with limited time to close the structural gap before the November 3 vote. A national Republican surge or unforeseen developments involving either candidate could narrow the contest, yet the district’s voting patterns and Foster’s incumbency continue to anchor expectations for a Democratic hold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,099 Vol.
$10,099 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
$10,099 Vol.
$10,099 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,161 Vol.
92%
共和党
$6,938 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster holds a commanding position in Illinois’ 11th congressional district, a suburban Chicago seat that has supported Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Foster’s uncontested March primary and established record on local economic and infrastructure issues have reinforced trader consensus around the party’s 91.5 percent implied probability. Republican nominee Jeff Walter emerged from a four-way primary on March 17 that divided party resources and attention, leaving the general-election campaign with limited time to close the structural gap before the November 3 vote. A national Republican surge or unforeseen developments involving either candidate could narrow the contest, yet the district’s voting patterns and Foster’s incumbency continue to anchor expectations for a Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$10,099終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster holds a commanding position in Illinois’ 11th congressional district, a suburban Chicago seat that has supported Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Foster’s uncontested March primary and established record on local economic and infrastructure issues have reinforced trader consensus around the party’s 91.5 percent implied probability. Republican nominee Jeff Walter emerged from a four-way primary on March 17 that divided party resources and attention, leaving the general-election campaign with limited time to close the structural gap before the November 3 vote. A national Republican surge or unforeseen developments involving either candidate could narrow the contest, yet the district’s voting patterns and Foster’s incumbency continue to anchor expectations for a Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,099終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster holds a commanding position in Illinois’ 11th congressional district, a suburban Chicago seat that has supported Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Foster’s uncontested March primary and established record on local economic and infrastructure issues have reinforced trader consensus around the party’s 91.5 percent implied probability. Republican nominee Jeff Walter emerged from a four-way primary on March 17 that divided party resources and attention, leaving the general-election campaign with limited time to close the structural gap before the November 3 vote. A national Republican surge or unforeseen developments involving either candidate could narrow the contest, yet the district’s voting patterns and Foster’s incumbency continue to anchor expectations for a Democratic hold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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