The TX-29 seat's commanding Democratic lead in trading stems from its deep partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and consistent forecaster ratings as Solid Democratic. Incumbent Sylvia Garcia secured her party's nomination in the March 3 primary with 58 percent of the vote, clearing a redistricting effort by Texas Republicans that adjusted boundaries but left the Houston-area district's core voter base intact. Republican nominee Martha Fierro faces a steep climb in a constituency that has delivered Democratic margins above 30 points in recent cycles. The consensus pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe seats, where incumbency and turnout patterns rarely shift absent a major national swing or unforeseen candidate event before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,292 Vol.
94%
共和党
$382 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-29 seat's commanding Democratic lead in trading stems from its deep partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and consistent forecaster ratings as Solid Democratic. Incumbent Sylvia Garcia secured her party's nomination in the March 3 primary with 58 percent of the vote, clearing a redistricting effort by Texas Republicans that adjusted boundaries but left the Houston-area district's core voter base intact. Republican nominee Martha Fierro faces a steep climb in a constituency that has delivered Democratic margins above 30 points in recent cycles. The consensus pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe seats, where incumbency and turnout patterns rarely shift absent a major national swing or unforeseen candidate event before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$3,674終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-29 seat's commanding Democratic lead in trading stems from its deep partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and consistent forecaster ratings as Solid Democratic. Incumbent Sylvia Garcia secured her party's nomination in the March 3 primary with 58 percent of the vote, clearing a redistricting effort by Texas Republicans that adjusted boundaries but left the Houston-area district's core voter base intact. Republican nominee Martha Fierro faces a steep climb in a constituency that has delivered Democratic margins above 30 points in recent cycles. The consensus pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe seats, where incumbency and turnout patterns rarely shift absent a major national swing or unforeseen candidate event before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,674終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-29 seat's commanding Democratic lead in trading stems from its deep partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and consistent forecaster ratings as Solid Democratic. Incumbent Sylvia Garcia secured her party's nomination in the March 3 primary with 58 percent of the vote, clearing a redistricting effort by Texas Republicans that adjusted boundaries but left the Houston-area district's core voter base intact. Republican nominee Martha Fierro faces a steep climb in a constituency that has delivered Democratic margins above 30 points in recent cycles. The consensus pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe seats, where incumbency and turnout patterns rarely shift absent a major national swing or unforeseen candidate event before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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