Maryland's 3rd congressional district features a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent voting patterns, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75% support across key counties and now faces Republican Berney Flowers in the November general election. The district includes heavily Democratic-leaning areas in Howard and Anne Arundel counties, where Elfreth previously prevailed with nearly 60% in 2024. Limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in this environment have kept opposition prospects modest. A major national shift against Democrats, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the general election outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,932 Vol.
$36,932 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
96%
共和党
6%
$36,932 Vol.
$36,932 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$20,808 Vol.
96%
共和党
$16,124 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 3rd congressional district features a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent voting patterns, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75% support across key counties and now faces Republican Berney Flowers in the November general election. The district includes heavily Democratic-leaning areas in Howard and Anne Arundel counties, where Elfreth previously prevailed with nearly 60% in 2024. Limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in this environment have kept opposition prospects modest. A major national shift against Democrats, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$36,932終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 3rd congressional district features a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent voting patterns, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75% support across key counties and now faces Republican Berney Flowers in the November general election. The district includes heavily Democratic-leaning areas in Howard and Anne Arundel counties, where Elfreth previously prevailed with nearly 60% in 2024. Limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in this environment have kept opposition prospects modest. A major national shift against Democrats, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$36,932終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 3rd congressional district features a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent voting patterns, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75% support across key counties and now faces Republican Berney Flowers in the November general election. The district includes heavily Democratic-leaning areas in Howard and Anne Arundel counties, where Elfreth previously prevailed with nearly 60% in 2024. Limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in this environment have kept opposition prospects modest. A major national shift against Democrats, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the general election outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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