Maryland’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 midterms, with incumbent Sarah Elfreth seeking re-election in a district carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. The June 23 primary will finalize nominees from both parties, yet the general-election landscape favors the Democratic candidate due to voter registration advantages and fundraising patterns typical of the district. Republican contenders, largely perennial candidates, have not mounted competitive challenges in recent cycles. A significant shift in odds would require an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an extraordinary national political realignment that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日MD-03 House Election Winner
MD-03 House Election Winner
$27,497 Vol.
$27,497 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
6%
$27,497 Vol.
$27,497 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
$20,575 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$6,922 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 midterms, with incumbent Sarah Elfreth seeking re-election in a district carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. The June 23 primary will finalize nominees from both parties, yet the general-election landscape favors the Democratic candidate due to voter registration advantages and fundraising patterns typical of the district. Republican contenders, largely perennial candidates, have not mounted competitive challenges in recent cycles. A significant shift in odds would require an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an extraordinary national political realignment that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$27,497終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 midterms, with incumbent Sarah Elfreth seeking re-election in a district carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. The June 23 primary will finalize nominees from both parties, yet the general-election landscape favors the Democratic candidate due to voter registration advantages and fundraising patterns typical of the district. Republican contenders, largely perennial candidates, have not mounted competitive challenges in recent cycles. A significant shift in odds would require an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an extraordinary national political realignment that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$27,497終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 midterms, with incumbent Sarah Elfreth seeking re-election in a district carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. The June 23 primary will finalize nominees from both parties, yet the general-election landscape favors the Democratic candidate due to voter registration advantages and fundraising patterns typical of the district. Republican contenders, largely perennial candidates, have not mounted competitive challenges in recent cycles. A significant shift in odds would require an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an extraordinary national political realignment that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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