**Nigel Farage triggered and won the August 13, 2026 Clacton by-election after resigning in early July amid a parliamentary standards inquiry into undeclared gifts, donations, and finances.** He secured 63.3% of the vote against a record field of 34 candidates (including novelty entrant Count Binface), with major parties boycotting the contest. This returned him to the seat he has held since the 2024 general election. As of mid-August, Farage remains the sitting Reform UK MP with no announced intention to vacate the constituency again. The ongoing inquiry has resumed but has not produced new triggers for resignation or disqualification. With the next UK general election expected no earlier than 2029 under standard parliamentary rules, the absence of fresh vacancies, health issues, or procedural changes supports traders’ 70% probability against another by-election occurring in 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年に行われた別のクラクトン補欠選挙は？
2026年に行われた別のクラクトン補欠選挙は？
はい
30% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
30% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Nigel Farage triggered and won the August 13, 2026 Clacton by-election after resigning in early July amid a parliamentary standards inquiry into undeclared gifts, donations, and finances.** He secured 63.3% of the vote against a record field of 34 candidates (including novelty entrant Count Binface), with major parties boycotting the contest. This returned him to the seat he has held since the 2024 general election.
As of mid-August, Farage remains the sitting Reform UK MP with no announced intention to vacate the constituency again. The ongoing inquiry has resumed but has not produced new triggers for resignation or disqualification. With the next UK general election expected no earlier than 2029 under standard parliamentary rules, the absence of fresh vacancies, health issues, or procedural changes supports traders’ 70% probability against another by-election occurring in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Nigel Farage triggered and won the August 13, 2026 Clacton by-election after resigning in early July amid a parliamentary standards inquiry into undeclared gifts, donations, and finances.** He secured 63.3% of the vote against a record field of 34 candidates (including novelty entrant Count Binface), with major parties boycotting the contest. This returned him to the seat he has held since the 2024 general election.
As of mid-August, Farage remains the sitting Reform UK MP with no announced intention to vacate the constituency again. The ongoing inquiry has resumed but has not produced new triggers for resignation or disqualification. With the next UK general election expected no earlier than 2029 under standard parliamentary rules, the absence of fresh vacancies, health issues, or procedural changes supports traders’ 70% probability against another by-election occurring in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$0終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Nigel Farage triggered and won the August 13, 2026 Clacton by-election after resigning in early July amid a parliamentary standards inquiry into undeclared gifts, donations, and finances.** He secured 63.3% of the vote against a record field of 34 candidates (including novelty entrant Count Binface), with major parties boycotting the contest. This returned him to the seat he has held since the 2024 general election. As of mid-August, Farage remains the sitting Reform UK MP with no announced intention to vacate the constituency again. The ongoing inquiry has resumed but has not produced new triggers for resignation or disqualification. With the next UK general election expected no earlier than 2029 under standard parliamentary rules, the absence of fresh vacancies, health issues, or procedural changes supports traders’ 70% probability against another by-election occurring in 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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