The incumbent Democratic representative benefits from a strongly Democratic district rated Solid D with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent voter preferences in recent presidential cycles. Primary contests on July 21, 2026, feature the sitting member facing limited intra-party opposition alongside weak Republican primary candidates, leaving no evident path for a general election upset under current conditions. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in voter sentiment. Late developments such as an unexpected primary surge, significant fundraising reversal, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,983 Vol.
$11,983 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$11,983 Vol.
$11,983 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,686 Vol.
93%
共和党
$4,297 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The incumbent Democratic representative benefits from a strongly Democratic district rated Solid D with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent voter preferences in recent presidential cycles. Primary contests on July 21, 2026, feature the sitting member facing limited intra-party opposition alongside weak Republican primary candidates, leaving no evident path for a general election upset under current conditions. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in voter sentiment. Late developments such as an unexpected primary surge, significant fundraising reversal, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$11,983終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The incumbent Democratic representative benefits from a strongly Democratic district rated Solid D with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent voter preferences in recent presidential cycles. Primary contests on July 21, 2026, feature the sitting member facing limited intra-party opposition alongside weak Republican primary candidates, leaving no evident path for a general election upset under current conditions. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in voter sentiment. Late developments such as an unexpected primary surge, significant fundraising reversal, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$11,983終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The incumbent Democratic representative benefits from a strongly Democratic district rated Solid D with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent voter preferences in recent presidential cycles. Primary contests on July 21, 2026, feature the sitting member facing limited intra-party opposition alongside weak Republican primary candidates, leaving no evident path for a general election upset under current conditions. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in voter sentiment. Late developments such as an unexpected primary surge, significant fundraising reversal, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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