Incumbent Republican David Kustoff's dominance in the solidly Republican TN-08 district, rated R+21 by Cook PVI with Trump carrying it 68%-31% in 2024, underpins the 84.5% trader consensus for a GOP win. Kustoff, unopposed in the August 6 Republican primary and holding $2.8 million cash-on-hand as of late March, faces a weak Democratic primary field of Dewey Bryan and retired pastor Leonard Perkins, alongside independents Pamela Moses and Horace Taylor in November. Mid-decade redistricting finalized in early May 2026—reopening filing through May 15 amid GOP efforts for a 9-0 map—further bolsters the partisan lean, with no credible challengers emerging to shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,344 Vol.
$14,344 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
85%
民主党
16%
$14,344 Vol.
$14,344 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$9,500 Vol.
85%
民主党
$4,844 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff's dominance in the solidly Republican TN-08 district, rated R+21 by Cook PVI with Trump carrying it 68%-31% in 2024, underpins the 84.5% trader consensus for a GOP win. Kustoff, unopposed in the August 6 Republican primary and holding $2.8 million cash-on-hand as of late March, faces a weak Democratic primary field of Dewey Bryan and retired pastor Leonard Perkins, alongside independents Pamela Moses and Horace Taylor in November. Mid-decade redistricting finalized in early May 2026—reopening filing through May 15 amid GOP efforts for a 9-0 map—further bolsters the partisan lean, with no credible challengers emerging to shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$14,344終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff's dominance in the solidly Republican TN-08 district, rated R+21 by Cook PVI with Trump carrying it 68%-31% in 2024, underpins the 84.5% trader consensus for a GOP win. Kustoff, unopposed in the August 6 Republican primary and holding $2.8 million cash-on-hand as of late March, faces a weak Democratic primary field of Dewey Bryan and retired pastor Leonard Perkins, alongside independents Pamela Moses and Horace Taylor in November. Mid-decade redistricting finalized in early May 2026—reopening filing through May 15 amid GOP efforts for a 9-0 map—further bolsters the partisan lean, with no credible challengers emerging to shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,344終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Kustoff's dominance in the solidly Republican TN-08 district, rated R+21 by Cook PVI with Trump carrying it 68%-31% in 2024, underpins the 84.5% trader consensus for a GOP win. Kustoff, unopposed in the August 6 Republican primary and holding $2.8 million cash-on-hand as of late March, faces a weak Democratic primary field of Dewey Bryan and retired pastor Leonard Perkins, alongside independents Pamela Moses and Horace Taylor in November. Mid-decade redistricting finalized in early May 2026—reopening filing through May 15 amid GOP efforts for a 9-0 map—further bolsters the partisan lean, with no credible challengers emerging to shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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