Incumbent Republican David Kustoff secured the party's nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary for Tennessee's 8th congressional district, reinforcing trader expectations for a strong general election performance on November 3. The district, redrawn in May 2026 to encompass additional portions of Shelby County alongside rural West Tennessee areas, carries a Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and prior results, including Kustoff's 72.3% margin in 2024. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the current market consensus. A Democratic nominee, Shelby County Criminal Court Clerk Heidi Kuhn, has advanced but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though no such factors have materialized to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$30,768 Vol.
$30,768 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
6%
$30,768 Vol.
$30,768 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$18,242 Vol.
92%
民主党
$12,526 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff secured the party's nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary for Tennessee's 8th congressional district, reinforcing trader expectations for a strong general election performance on November 3. The district, redrawn in May 2026 to encompass additional portions of Shelby County alongside rural West Tennessee areas, carries a Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and prior results, including Kustoff's 72.3% margin in 2024. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the current market consensus. A Democratic nominee, Shelby County Criminal Court Clerk Heidi Kuhn, has advanced but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though no such factors have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$30,768終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff secured the party's nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary for Tennessee's 8th congressional district, reinforcing trader expectations for a strong general election performance on November 3. The district, redrawn in May 2026 to encompass additional portions of Shelby County alongside rural West Tennessee areas, carries a Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and prior results, including Kustoff's 72.3% margin in 2024. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the current market consensus. A Democratic nominee, Shelby County Criminal Court Clerk Heidi Kuhn, has advanced but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though no such factors have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$30,768終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Kustoff secured the party's nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary for Tennessee's 8th congressional district, reinforcing trader expectations for a strong general election performance on November 3. The district, redrawn in May 2026 to encompass additional portions of Shelby County alongside rural West Tennessee areas, carries a Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and prior results, including Kustoff's 72.3% margin in 2024. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the current market consensus. A Democratic nominee, Shelby County Criminal Court Clerk Heidi Kuhn, has advanced but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though no such factors have materialized to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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