**Roger Marshall holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in deeply Republican Kansas, where the party has dominated Senate contests for decades and Donald Trump carried the state by double digits in the prior presidential cycle.** Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee and founding pastor of a large United Methodist congregation, emerged from an 11-candidate primary in August but faces structural headwinds in a state that last elected a Democratic senator nearly a century ago. Recent polling aggregates show Marshall ahead by a modest margin, while forecasters rate the race Likely Republican. The September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair highlighted differences on agriculture, tariffs, and foreign policy amid a vocal crowd, yet the state's partisan fundamentals and Marshall's rural base continue to anchor trader consensus around his reelection prospects ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$50,659 Vol.
$50,659 Vol.
2026/11/02
ロジャー・マーシャル（共和党）
80%
アダム・ハミルトン（民主党）
21%
$50,659 Vol.
$50,659 Vol.
2026/11/02
ロジャー・マーシャル（共和党）
$32,667 Vol.
80%
アダム・ハミルトン（民主党）
$17,992 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Roger Marshall holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in deeply Republican Kansas, where the party has dominated Senate contests for decades and Donald Trump carried the state by double digits in the prior presidential cycle.** Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee and founding pastor of a large United Methodist congregation, emerged from an 11-candidate primary in August but faces structural headwinds in a state that last elected a Democratic senator nearly a century ago. Recent polling aggregates show Marshall ahead by a modest margin, while forecasters rate the race Likely Republican. The September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair highlighted differences on agriculture, tariffs, and foreign policy amid a vocal crowd, yet the state's partisan fundamentals and Marshall's rural base continue to anchor trader consensus around his reelection prospects ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
音量
$50,659終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Roger Marshall holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in deeply Republican Kansas, where the party has dominated Senate contests for decades and Donald Trump carried the state by double digits in the prior presidential cycle.** Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee and founding pastor of a large United Methodist congregation, emerged from an 11-candidate primary in August but faces structural headwinds in a state that last elected a Democratic senator nearly a century ago. Recent polling aggregates show Marshall ahead by a modest margin, while forecasters rate the race Likely Republican. The September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair highlighted differences on agriculture, tariffs, and foreign policy amid a vocal crowd, yet the state's partisan fundamentals and Marshall's rural base continue to anchor trader consensus around his reelection prospects ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$50,659終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...**Roger Marshall holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in deeply Republican Kansas, where the party has dominated Senate contests for decades and Donald Trump carried the state by double digits in the prior presidential cycle.** Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee and founding pastor of a large United Methodist congregation, emerged from an 11-candidate primary in August but faces structural headwinds in a state that last elected a Democratic senator nearly a century ago. Recent polling aggregates show Marshall ahead by a modest margin, while forecasters rate the race Likely Republican. The September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair highlighted differences on agriculture, tariffs, and foreign policy amid a vocal crowd, yet the state's partisan fundamentals and Marshall's rural base continue to anchor trader consensus around his reelection prospects ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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