Incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests and his established record since entering the Senate in 2021. Both candidates advanced from August 4 primaries, with Marshall defeating his Republican challenger by a wide margin and Hamilton emerging from a crowded Democratic field. Recent polling shows Marshall leading by low single digits on average, though some surveys place the contest closer. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. A September 13 debate at the Kansas State Fair drew crowd interruptions and scrutiny of Marshall's record on tariffs and residency, but these events have not materially altered the broader structural advantages favoring the incumbent heading into November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$50,659 Vol.
$50,659 Vol.
2026/11/02
ロジャー・マーシャル（共和党）
80%
アダム・ハミルトン（民主党）
22%
$50,659 Vol.
$50,659 Vol.
2026/11/02
ロジャー・マーシャル（共和党）
$32,667 Vol.
80%
アダム・ハミルトン（民主党）
$17,992 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests and his established record since entering the Senate in 2021. Both candidates advanced from August 4 primaries, with Marshall defeating his Republican challenger by a wide margin and Hamilton emerging from a crowded Democratic field. Recent polling shows Marshall leading by low single digits on average, though some surveys place the contest closer. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. A September 13 debate at the Kansas State Fair drew crowd interruptions and scrutiny of Marshall's record on tariffs and residency, but these events have not materially altered the broader structural advantages favoring the incumbent heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
音量
$50,659終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests and his established record since entering the Senate in 2021. Both candidates advanced from August 4 primaries, with Marshall defeating his Republican challenger by a wide margin and Hamilton emerging from a crowded Democratic field. Recent polling shows Marshall leading by low single digits on average, though some surveys place the contest closer. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. A September 13 debate at the Kansas State Fair drew crowd interruptions and scrutiny of Marshall's record on tariffs and residency, but these events have not materially altered the broader structural advantages favoring the incumbent heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$50,659終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests and his established record since entering the Senate in 2021. Both candidates advanced from August 4 primaries, with Marshall defeating his Republican challenger by a wide margin and Hamilton emerging from a crowded Democratic field. Recent polling shows Marshall leading by low single digits on average, though some surveys place the contest closer. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. A September 13 debate at the Kansas State Fair drew crowd interruptions and scrutiny of Marshall's record on tariffs and residency, but these events have not materially altered the broader structural advantages favoring the incumbent heading into November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問