Vitaly Korolev’s commanding 97% market price stems from his status as acting governor, appointed by President Putin in November 2025, and his United Russia nomination for the September 18–20, 2026, Tver Oblast vote. Kremlin backing, party organizational resources, and the established pattern of high vote shares for aligned incumbents in Russian regional contests underpin trader consensus. Registered opponents—Tatyana Petrova of A Just Russia, Igor Yakovenko of the Party of Pensioners, Sergey Malinkovich of Communists of Russia, Lyudmila Vorobyova of the CPRF, and Olga Levina of LDPR—hold minimal implied probabilities consistent with typical barriers to competitive challenges. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or shifts in turnout could still alter outcomes, though historical precedent in comparable gubernatorial races indicates limited scope for reversal before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Vitaly Korolev 97.0%
Igor Yakovenko 1.6%
Tatyana Petrova 1.5%
Sergey Malinkovich <1%
Vitaly Korolev
97%
Igor Yakovenko
2%
Tatyana Petrova
2%
Sergey Malinkovich
1%
Lyudmila Vorobyova
<1%
Olga Levina
<1%
Vitaly Korolev 97.0%
Igor Yakovenko 1.6%
Tatyana Petrova 1.5%
Sergey Malinkovich <1%
Vitaly Korolev
97%
Igor Yakovenko
2%
Tatyana Petrova
2%
Sergey Malinkovich
1%
Lyudmila Vorobyova
<1%
Olga Levina
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tver Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tver Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
マーケット開始日： Jul 24, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tver Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tver Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Vitaly Korolev’s commanding 97% market price stems from his status as acting governor, appointed by President Putin in November 2025, and his United Russia nomination for the September 18–20, 2026, Tver Oblast vote. Kremlin backing, party organizational resources, and the established pattern of high vote shares for aligned incumbents in Russian regional contests underpin trader consensus. Registered opponents—Tatyana Petrova of A Just Russia, Igor Yakovenko of the Party of Pensioners, Sergey Malinkovich of Communists of Russia, Lyudmila Vorobyova of the CPRF, and Olga Levina of LDPR—hold minimal implied probabilities consistent with typical barriers to competitive challenges. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or shifts in turnout could still alter outcomes, though historical precedent in comparable gubernatorial races indicates limited scope for reversal before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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