Recent polling consistently places the Social Democrats well ahead as the likely largest party ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, leaving the contest for second place between the Sweden Democrats and the Moderates. Multiple May 2026 surveys from SCB, Ipsos, Demoskop, and Indikator show SD support at 18–20% versus 17–19% for the Moderates, with SD holding a narrow but steady edge. This positioning reflects SD’s sustained focus on migration and crime alongside its growing institutional role, including the March 2026 “Sweden Promise” agreement on cabinet inclusion and the Moderate leader’s April statement committing to a formal four-party right-wing government if seats allow. Traders therefore price SD as the stronger contender for second amid stable bloc dynamics and limited movement in smaller parties’ shares.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Sweden Democrats (SD) 53%
Moderate Party (M) 31%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 5.3%
Liberals (L) 2.2%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
5%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
53%
Moderate Party (M)
31%
Centre Party (C)
1%
Left Party (V)
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
1%
Green Party (MP)
1%
Liberals (L)
2%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 53%
Moderate Party (M) 31%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 5.3%
Liberals (L) 2.2%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$423 Vol.
5%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$687 Vol.
53%
Moderate Party (M)
$248 Vol.
31%
Centre Party (C)
$513 Vol.
1%
Left Party (V)
$401 Vol.
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$453 Vol.
1%
Green Party (MP)
$461 Vol.
1%
Liberals (L)
$498 Vol.
2%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$516 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling consistently places the Social Democrats well ahead as the likely largest party ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, leaving the contest for second place between the Sweden Democrats and the Moderates. Multiple May 2026 surveys from SCB, Ipsos, Demoskop, and Indikator show SD support at 18–20% versus 17–19% for the Moderates, with SD holding a narrow but steady edge. This positioning reflects SD’s sustained focus on migration and crime alongside its growing institutional role, including the March 2026 “Sweden Promise” agreement on cabinet inclusion and the Moderate leader’s April statement committing to a formal four-party right-wing government if seats allow. Traders therefore price SD as the stronger contender for second amid stable bloc dynamics and limited movement in smaller parties’ shares.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
マーケット開始日： May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
音量
$4,201終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling consistently places the Social Democrats well ahead as the likely largest party ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, leaving the contest for second place between the Sweden Democrats and the Moderates. Multiple May 2026 surveys from SCB, Ipsos, Demoskop, and Indikator show SD support at 18–20% versus 17–19% for the Moderates, with SD holding a narrow but steady edge. This positioning reflects SD’s sustained focus on migration and crime alongside its growing institutional role, including the March 2026 “Sweden Promise” agreement on cabinet inclusion and the Moderate leader’s April statement committing to a formal four-party right-wing government if seats allow. Traders therefore price SD as the stronger contender for second amid stable bloc dynamics and limited movement in smaller parties’ shares.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
音量
$4,201終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling consistently places the Social Democrats well ahead as the likely largest party ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, leaving the contest for second place between the Sweden Democrats and the Moderates. Multiple May 2026 surveys from SCB, Ipsos, Demoskop, and Indikator show SD support at 18–20% versus 17–19% for the Moderates, with SD holding a narrow but steady edge. This positioning reflects SD’s sustained focus on migration and crime alongside its growing institutional role, including the March 2026 “Sweden Promise” agreement on cabinet inclusion and the Moderate leader’s April statement committing to a formal four-party right-wing government if seats allow. Traders therefore price SD as the stronger contender for second amid stable bloc dynamics and limited movement in smaller parties’ shares.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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