Recent developments surrounding the September 20, 2026 Berlin state election point to balanced pressures on voter participation compared with the February 2023 repeat vote. Expanded eligibility for 16- and 17-year-olds, roughly 60,000 additional eligible voters from naturalizations, and simultaneous district assembly contests could lift engagement. At the same time, a fragmented party landscape, an incumbent CDU-SPD coalition polling below majority thresholds, and competition among CDU, SPD, Greens, Left, and AfD candidates may either mobilize core supporters or leave swing and first-time voters disengaged. Other 2026 state elections recorded turnout gains, yet Berlin’s urban demographics and absence of acute federal-level mobilization introduce offsetting uncertainty. Traders therefore see roughly even odds that participation will exceed or fall short of the prior benchmark.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日上昇
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2026/09/20
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2026/09/20
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).Recent developments surrounding the September 20, 2026 Berlin state election point to balanced pressures on voter participation compared with the February 2023 repeat vote. Expanded eligibility for 16- and 17-year-olds, roughly 60,000 additional eligible voters from naturalizations, and simultaneous district assembly contests could lift engagement. At the same time, a fragmented party landscape, an incumbent CDU-SPD coalition polling below majority thresholds, and competition among CDU, SPD, Greens, Left, and AfD candidates may either mobilize core supporters or leave swing and first-time voters disengaged. Other 2026 state elections recorded turnout gains, yet Berlin’s urban demographics and absence of acute federal-level mobilization introduce offsetting uncertainty. Traders therefore see roughly even odds that participation will exceed or fall short of the prior benchmark.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).Recent developments surrounding the September 20, 2026 Berlin state election point to balanced pressures on voter participation compared with the February 2023 repeat vote. Expanded eligibility for 16- and 17-year-olds, roughly 60,000 additional eligible voters from naturalizations, and simultaneous district assembly contests could lift engagement. At the same time, a fragmented party landscape, an incumbent CDU-SPD coalition polling below majority thresholds, and competition among CDU, SPD, Greens, Left, and AfD candidates may either mobilize core supporters or leave swing and first-time voters disengaged. Other 2026 state elections recorded turnout gains, yet Berlin’s urban demographics and absence of acute federal-level mobilization introduce offsetting uncertainty. Traders therefore see roughly even odds that participation will exceed or fall short of the prior benchmark.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments surrounding the September 20, 2026 Berlin state election point to balanced pressures on voter participation compared with the February 2023 repeat vote. Expanded eligibility for 16- and 17-year-olds, roughly 60,000 additional eligible voters from naturalizations, and simultaneous district assembly contests could lift engagement. At the same time, a fragmented party landscape, an incumbent CDU-SPD coalition polling below majority thresholds, and competition among CDU, SPD, Greens, Left, and AfD candidates may either mobilize core supporters or leave swing and first-time voters disengaged. Other 2026 state elections recorded turnout gains, yet Berlin’s urban demographics and absence of acute federal-level mobilization introduce offsetting uncertainty. Traders therefore see roughly even odds that participation will exceed or fall short of the prior benchmark.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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