Recent polls for Berlin's September 20, 2026, state election show a tight multi-party contest, with Die Linke at 20-22%, CDU near 19-20%, AfD at 17-19%, and Greens around 16-17%. This fragmented support, combined with AfD's national momentum and occasional first-place showings in Berlin surveys, supports trader consensus around 29-34 seats for the party. The race remains competitive due to volatile polling averages, uncertain turnout, and the 5% threshold's impact on smaller parties' seat allocation under the state's proportional system. Late campaign developments such as candidate debates, shifts in voter priorities on immigration or housing, or national political events could widen or narrow AfD's projected share before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日26-28 26%
32-34 22%
29-31 17%
23-25 13%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
<20
5%
20-22
5%
23-25
27%
26-28
26%
29-31
32%
32-34
22%
35+
8%
26-28 26%
32-34 22%
29-31 17%
23-25 13%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
<20
$572 Vol.
5%
20-22
$1,426 Vol.
5%
23-25
$97 Vol.
27%
26-28
$347 Vol.
26%
29-31
$240 Vol.
32%
32-34
$116 Vol.
22%
35+
$304 Vol.
8%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls for Berlin's September 20, 2026, state election show a tight multi-party contest, with Die Linke at 20-22%, CDU near 19-20%, AfD at 17-19%, and Greens around 16-17%. This fragmented support, combined with AfD's national momentum and occasional first-place showings in Berlin surveys, supports trader consensus around 29-34 seats for the party. The race remains competitive due to volatile polling averages, uncertain turnout, and the 5% threshold's impact on smaller parties' seat allocation under the state's proportional system. Late campaign developments such as candidate debates, shifts in voter priorities on immigration or housing, or national political events could widen or narrow AfD's projected share before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$3,101終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls for Berlin's September 20, 2026, state election show a tight multi-party contest, with Die Linke at 20-22%, CDU near 19-20%, AfD at 17-19%, and Greens around 16-17%. This fragmented support, combined with AfD's national momentum and occasional first-place showings in Berlin surveys, supports trader consensus around 29-34 seats for the party. The race remains competitive due to volatile polling averages, uncertain turnout, and the 5% threshold's impact on smaller parties' seat allocation under the state's proportional system. Late campaign developments such as candidate debates, shifts in voter priorities on immigration or housing, or national political events could widen or narrow AfD's projected share before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
音量
$3,101終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Berlin's September 20, 2026, state election show a tight multi-party contest, with Die Linke at 20-22%, CDU near 19-20%, AfD at 17-19%, and Greens around 16-17%. This fragmented support, combined with AfD's national momentum and occasional first-place showings in Berlin surveys, supports trader consensus around 29-34 seats for the party. The race remains competitive due to volatile polling averages, uncertain turnout, and the 5% threshold's impact on smaller parties' seat allocation under the state's proportional system. Late campaign developments such as candidate debates, shifts in voter priorities on immigration or housing, or national political events could widen or narrow AfD's projected share before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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