Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a steady lead near 32 percent, with the Sweden Democrats holding second around 19-20 percent and the Moderate Party third near 17 percent. This consistent ordering, unchanged in surveys from major firms through July 2026, has shaped trader consensus reflected in the market prices. The Moderate Party's position as the largest party within the current governing Tidö alliance, combined with limited movement among smaller parties like the Greens or Centre, reinforces expectations that it will finish ahead of the rest of the field. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered these relative standings in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Moderate Party (M) 78%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 22%
Green Party (MP) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$38,570 Vol.
$38,570 Vol.
2026/09/13
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
22%
Moderate Party (M)
78%
Centre Party (C)
1%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 78%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 22%
Green Party (MP) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$38,570 Vol.
$38,570 Vol.
2026/09/13
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$2,634 Vol.
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$6,584 Vol.
22%
Moderate Party (M)
$12,578 Vol.
78%
Centre Party (C)
$2,730 Vol.
1%
Left Party (V)
$2,695 Vol.
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$2,527 Vol.
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$2,949 Vol.
1%
Liberals (L)
$3,040 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$2,834 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a steady lead near 32 percent, with the Sweden Democrats holding second around 19-20 percent and the Moderate Party third near 17 percent. This consistent ordering, unchanged in surveys from major firms through July 2026, has shaped trader consensus reflected in the market prices. The Moderate Party's position as the largest party within the current governing Tidö alliance, combined with limited movement among smaller parties like the Greens or Centre, reinforces expectations that it will finish ahead of the rest of the field. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered these relative standings in recent weeks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
マーケット開始日： May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
音量
$38,570終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a steady lead near 32 percent, with the Sweden Democrats holding second around 19-20 percent and the Moderate Party third near 17 percent. This consistent ordering, unchanged in surveys from major firms through July 2026, has shaped trader consensus reflected in the market prices. The Moderate Party's position as the largest party within the current governing Tidö alliance, combined with limited movement among smaller parties like the Greens or Centre, reinforces expectations that it will finish ahead of the rest of the field. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered these relative standings in recent weeks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
音量
$38,570終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a steady lead near 32 percent, with the Sweden Democrats holding second around 19-20 percent and the Moderate Party third near 17 percent. This consistent ordering, unchanged in surveys from major firms through July 2026, has shaped trader consensus reflected in the market prices. The Moderate Party's position as the largest party within the current governing Tidö alliance, combined with limited movement among smaller parties like the Greens or Centre, reinforces expectations that it will finish ahead of the rest of the field. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered these relative standings in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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