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政治·プライマリ

ミネソタ州知事共和党予備選

icon for ミネソタ州知事共和党予備選
政治·プライマリ

ミネソタ州知事共和党予備選

リサ・デマス 67%

ケンダル・クオールズ 15%

マイク・リンデル 13%

フィル・パリッシュ 1.1%

Polymarket

$383,064 Vol.

リサ・デマス 67%

ケンダル・クオールズ 15%

マイク・リンデル 13%

フィル・パリッシュ 1.1%

Polymarket

$383,064 Vol.

リサ・デマス

$57,179 Vol.

67%

ケンダル・クオールズ

$45,098 Vol.

15%

マイク・リンデル

$88,263 Vol.

13%

フィル・パリッシュ

$23,209 Vol.

1%

ジェフ・ジョンソン

$2,659 Vol.

1%

スコット・イェンセン

$131,175 Vol.

1%

ブラッド・コーラー

$4,707 Vol.

<1%

パトリック・ナイト

$10,527 Vol.

<1%

クリス・マデル

$6,925 Vol.

<1%

クリスティン・ロビンズ

$13,322 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.House Speaker Lisa Demuth leads trader consensus at 67% implied probability to win the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary on August 11, propelled by her dominant 32% showing in February precinct caucus straw polls—well ahead of Kendall Qualls (25%) and Mike Lindell (17%)—which gauged party activist preferences ahead of the state endorsement convention. Recent field consolidation, including Rep. Kristin Robbins' campaign suspension on May 4, has narrowed the contest to these top three, boosting Demuth's momentum as the GOP House leader with strong fundraising. Qualls shows grassroots traction in niche polls like the Tea Party Patriots straw poll, while Lindell retains a dedicated base; the late-May GOP convention could shift dynamics before early primary voting begins in June.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$383,064
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.House Speaker Lisa Demuth leads trader consensus at 67% implied probability to win the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary on August 11, propelled by her dominant 32% showing in February precinct caucus straw polls—well ahead of Kendall Qualls (25%) and Mike Lindell (17%)—which gauged party activist preferences ahead of the state endorsement convention. Recent field consolidation, including Rep. Kristin Robbins' campaign suspension on May 4, has narrowed the contest to these top three, boosting Demuth's momentum as the GOP House leader with strong fundraising. Qualls shows grassroots traction in niche polls like the Tea Party Patriots straw poll, while Lindell retains a dedicated base; the late-May GOP convention could shift dynamics before early primary voting begins in June.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$383,064
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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よくある質問

「ミネソタ州知事共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「リサ・デマス」で67%、次いで「ケンダル・クオールズ」が14%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、67¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に67%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ミネソタ州知事共和党予備選」は$383.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 10, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ミネソタ州知事共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ミネソタ州知事共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「リサ・デマス」で67%であり、市場がこの結果に67%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ケンダル・クオールズ」で14%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ミネソタ州知事共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。