Tom Tiffany’s commanding 95% implied probability in the Wisconsin Republican primary for governor stems primarily from his January 2026 endorsement by President Donald Trump and the subsequent state party endorsement, which consolidated support among party leaders and donors. As the sitting U.S. representative for the 7th district with prior state legislative experience, Tiffany benefits from high name recognition and a largely cleared field after multiple potential rivals, including Josh Schoemann and Eric Hovde, withdrew or declined to run. Only Andy Manske remains on the August 11 ballot as a long-shot challenger. The August primary timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as unexpected health events or major scandals to shift trader consensus before voters decide.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Tom Tiffany 98.2%
Tommy Thompson <1%
Josh Schoemann <1%
Andy Manske <1%
$90,005 Vol.
$90,005 Vol.
Tom Tiffany
98%
Tommy Thompson
1%
Josh Schoemann
<1%
Andy Manske
<1%
Sean Duffy
<1%
Eric Hovde
<1%
Tim Michels
<1%
Rebecca Kleefisch
<1%
Tom Tiffany 98.2%
Tommy Thompson <1%
Josh Schoemann <1%
Andy Manske <1%
$90,005 Vol.
$90,005 Vol.
Tom Tiffany
98%
Tommy Thompson
1%
Josh Schoemann
<1%
Andy Manske
<1%
Sean Duffy
<1%
Eric Hovde
<1%
Tim Michels
<1%
Rebecca Kleefisch
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Tiffany’s commanding 95% implied probability in the Wisconsin Republican primary for governor stems primarily from his January 2026 endorsement by President Donald Trump and the subsequent state party endorsement, which consolidated support among party leaders and donors. As the sitting U.S. representative for the 7th district with prior state legislative experience, Tiffany benefits from high name recognition and a largely cleared field after multiple potential rivals, including Josh Schoemann and Eric Hovde, withdrew or declined to run. Only Andy Manske remains on the August 11 ballot as a long-shot challenger. The August primary timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as unexpected health events or major scandals to shift trader consensus before voters decide.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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