Recent polling and the Trump endorsement have elevated Mike Lindell as the frontrunner in the August 11 Republican primary, yet the fragmented field and limited sample sizes sustain high uncertainty around the final margin. Lisa Demuth draws support from her legislative record as House speaker and party establishment ties, while Kendall Qualls retains the convention endorsement despite trailing in surveys. Multiple recent forums, including the Farmfest debate days before the vote, have underscored contrasts in experience and platform emphasis without producing a clear breakout. Trader pricing on narrow or wide victory bands for either Lindell or Demuth, alongside substantial weight on “Other,” reflects the tight polling spreads, undecided voters, and possibility that no single candidate secures a commanding lead in the low-turnout contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lindell 20–25% 38%
リンデル 25％以上 37%
Demuth 5–10% 37%
Demuth 10%+ 37%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
リンデル 25％以上
37%
Lindell 20–25%
38%
Lindell 15–20%
33%
Lindell 10–15%
36%
Lindell 5–10%
35%
Lindell <5%
36%
Demuth <5%
36%
Demuth 5–10%
37%
Demuth 10%+
37%
Lindell 20–25% 38%
リンデル 25％以上 37%
Demuth 5–10% 37%
Demuth 10%+ 37%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
リンデル 25％以上
$0 Vol.
37%
Lindell 20–25%
$0 Vol.
38%
Lindell 15–20%
$0 Vol.
33%
Lindell 10–15%
$0 Vol.
36%
Lindell 5–10%
$0 Vol.
35%
Lindell <5%
$0 Vol.
36%
Demuth <5%
$0 Vol.
36%
Demuth 5–10%
$0 Vol.
37%
Demuth 10%+
$0 Vol.
37%
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling and the Trump endorsement have elevated Mike Lindell as the frontrunner in the August 11 Republican primary, yet the fragmented field and limited sample sizes sustain high uncertainty around the final margin. Lisa Demuth draws support from her legislative record as House speaker and party establishment ties, while Kendall Qualls retains the convention endorsement despite trailing in surveys. Multiple recent forums, including the Farmfest debate days before the vote, have underscored contrasts in experience and platform emphasis without producing a clear breakout. Trader pricing on narrow or wide victory bands for either Lindell or Demuth, alongside substantial weight on “Other,” reflects the tight polling spreads, undecided voters, and possibility that no single candidate secures a commanding lead in the low-turnout contest.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling and the Trump endorsement have elevated Mike Lindell as the frontrunner in the August 11 Republican primary, yet the fragmented field and limited sample sizes sustain high uncertainty around the final margin. Lisa Demuth draws support from her legislative record as House speaker and party establishment ties, while Kendall Qualls retains the convention endorsement despite trailing in surveys. Multiple recent forums, including the Farmfest debate days before the vote, have underscored contrasts in experience and platform emphasis without producing a clear breakout. Trader pricing on narrow or wide victory bands for either Lindell or Demuth, alongside substantial weight on “Other,” reflects the tight polling spreads, undecided voters, and possibility that no single candidate secures a commanding lead in the low-turnout contest.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and the Trump endorsement have elevated Mike Lindell as the frontrunner in the August 11 Republican primary, yet the fragmented field and limited sample sizes sustain high uncertainty around the final margin. Lisa Demuth draws support from her legislative record as House speaker and party establishment ties, while Kendall Qualls retains the convention endorsement despite trailing in surveys. Multiple recent forums, including the Farmfest debate days before the vote, have underscored contrasts in experience and platform emphasis without producing a clear breakout. Trader pricing on narrow or wide victory bands for either Lindell or Demuth, alongside substantial weight on “Other,” reflects the tight polling spreads, undecided voters, and possibility that no single candidate secures a commanding lead in the low-turnout contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問