The Minnesota Democratic primary on August 11 between Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig to succeed retiring Sen. Tina Smith stays tight due to deep party divisions over ideology, corporate PAC funding, and strategy against the Trump administration. Flanagan secured the DFL endorsement and leads recent polling, but Craig benefits from millions in outside spending and appeals to moderate voters. With both candidates holding strong bases and limited undecideds, trader consensus on victory margins reflects uncertainty over turnout, final ad impact, and any late shifts in the remaining weeks. A decisive poll swing, debate performance, or endorsement change could quickly widen the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フラナガン 20％以上 43%
フラナガン 15～20％ 43%
フラナガン 10〜15％ 43%
フラナガン 5～10％ 43%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
フラナガン 20％以上
43%
フラナガン 15～20％
43%
フラナガン 10〜15％
43%
フラナガン 5～10％
43%
フラナガン 5％未満
43%
クレイグ <5％
43%
クレイグ 5〜10％
43%
クレイグ 10〜15％
43%
クレイグ15～20％
43%
クレイグ 20％以上
43%
フラナガン 20％以上 43%
フラナガン 15～20％ 43%
フラナガン 10〜15％ 43%
フラナガン 5～10％ 43%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
フラナガン 20％以上
$0 Vol.
43%
フラナガン 15～20％
$0 Vol.
43%
フラナガン 10〜15％
$0 Vol.
43%
フラナガン 5～10％
$0 Vol.
43%
フラナガン 5％未満
$0 Vol.
43%
クレイグ <5％
$0 Vol.
43%
クレイグ 5〜10％
$0 Vol.
43%
クレイグ 10〜15％
$0 Vol.
43%
クレイグ15～20％
$0 Vol.
43%
クレイグ 20％以上
$0 Vol.
43%
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Minnesota Democratic primary on August 11 between Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig to succeed retiring Sen. Tina Smith stays tight due to deep party divisions over ideology, corporate PAC funding, and strategy against the Trump administration. Flanagan secured the DFL endorsement and leads recent polling, but Craig benefits from millions in outside spending and appeals to moderate voters. With both candidates holding strong bases and limited undecideds, trader consensus on victory margins reflects uncertainty over turnout, final ad impact, and any late shifts in the remaining weeks. A decisive poll swing, debate performance, or endorsement change could quickly widen the gap.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Minnesota Democratic primary on August 11 between Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig to succeed retiring Sen. Tina Smith stays tight due to deep party divisions over ideology, corporate PAC funding, and strategy against the Trump administration. Flanagan secured the DFL endorsement and leads recent polling, but Craig benefits from millions in outside spending and appeals to moderate voters. With both candidates holding strong bases and limited undecideds, trader consensus on victory margins reflects uncertainty over turnout, final ad impact, and any late shifts in the remaining weeks. A decisive poll swing, debate performance, or endorsement change could quickly widen the gap.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Minnesota Democratic primary on August 11 between Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig to succeed retiring Sen. Tina Smith stays tight due to deep party divisions over ideology, corporate PAC funding, and strategy against the Trump administration. Flanagan secured the DFL endorsement and leads recent polling, but Craig benefits from millions in outside spending and appeals to moderate voters. With both candidates holding strong bases and limited undecideds, trader consensus on victory margins reflects uncertainty over turnout, final ad impact, and any late shifts in the remaining weeks. A decisive poll swing, debate performance, or endorsement change could quickly widen the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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