Jon Ossoff holds a consistent mid-to-high single-digit lead in recent Georgia Senate polling averages, reflecting his incumbency, strong fundraising edge exceeding $70 million, and broad support among women, Black voters, and suburban residents. Mike Collins, the Republican nominee and sitting congressman, trails despite endorsements and planned campaign events from national figures, with his campaign facing lower visibility and resources. Traders price Ossoff at 96% based on this stable polling trend and limited movement in the final weeks before the November 3 election. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, major national economic news, or unresolved voter concerns over affordability could still narrow the margin in this battleground state.
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