Francesca Hong holds a strong lead in the Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest, with traders assigning her a 75.5% chance of carrying Waukesha County. Recent polling from Marquette University shows Hong ahead statewide after Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez withdrew and Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley reentered with an endorsement from Gov. Tony Evers. Other declared candidates include state Sen. Kelda Roys and former state official Joel Brennan. Waukesha’s Democratic primary electorate, though smaller than urban areas, remains a key test of suburban support, and Hong’s polling edge plus recent campaign shifts have shaped the current implied probabilities among traders. The race features limited remaining time for further movement before primary ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/08/11
Francesca Hong
68%
David Crowley
36%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
Francesca Hong
$447 Vol.
68%
David Crowley
$60 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Waukesha County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Waukesha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Waukesha County.Francesca Hong holds a strong lead in the Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest, with traders assigning her a 75.5% chance of carrying Waukesha County. Recent polling from Marquette University shows Hong ahead statewide after Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez withdrew and Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley reentered with an endorsement from Gov. Tony Evers. Other declared candidates include state Sen. Kelda Roys and former state official Joel Brennan. Waukesha’s Democratic primary electorate, though smaller than urban areas, remains a key test of suburban support, and Hong’s polling edge plus recent campaign shifts have shaped the current implied probabilities among traders. The race features limited remaining time for further movement before primary ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Waukesha County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Waukesha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Waukesha County.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Waukesha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Waukesha County.
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
音量
$507終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Waukesha County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Waukesha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Waukesha County.Francesca Hong holds a strong lead in the Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest, with traders assigning her a 75.5% chance of carrying Waukesha County. Recent polling from Marquette University shows Hong ahead statewide after Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez withdrew and Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley reentered with an endorsement from Gov. Tony Evers. Other declared candidates include state Sen. Kelda Roys and former state official Joel Brennan. Waukesha’s Democratic primary electorate, though smaller than urban areas, remains a key test of suburban support, and Hong’s polling edge plus recent campaign shifts have shaped the current implied probabilities among traders. The race features limited remaining time for further movement before primary ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Waukesha County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Waukesha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Waukesha County.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Waukesha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Waukesha County.
音量
$507終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Francesca Hong holds a strong lead in the Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest, with traders assigning her a 75.5% chance of carrying Waukesha County. Recent polling from Marquette University shows Hong ahead statewide after Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez withdrew and Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley reentered with an endorsement from Gov. Tony Evers. Other declared candidates include state Sen. Kelda Roys and former state official Joel Brennan. Waukesha’s Democratic primary electorate, though smaller than urban areas, remains a key test of suburban support, and Hong’s polling edge plus recent campaign shifts have shaped the current implied probabilities among traders. The race features limited remaining time for further movement before primary ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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