Recent Swedish opinion polls show the Tidö parties—Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats—collectively projected at roughly 44-54% of the vote, short of the 175 seats needed for a Riksdag majority ahead of the 13 September 2026 election. The Social Democrats lead at around 32%, with the broader Red-Green bloc holding a consistent edge in aggregates from Novus, Demoskop, and Indikator Opinion. This positioning stems from sustained voter support for the opposition since the 2022 result, limited gains for the governing arrangement under Prime Minister Kristersson, and the structural challenges of a minority government reliant on external support. Traders price the low probability of a Tidö majority accordingly, as current trends and seat projections leave little margin for reversal before voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
8% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/14
はい
8% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/14
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls show the Tidö parties—Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats—collectively projected at roughly 44-54% of the vote, short of the 175 seats needed for a Riksdag majority ahead of the 13 September 2026 election. The Social Democrats lead at around 32%, with the broader Red-Green bloc holding a consistent edge in aggregates from Novus, Demoskop, and Indikator Opinion. This positioning stems from sustained voter support for the opposition since the 2022 result, limited gains for the governing arrangement under Prime Minister Kristersson, and the structural challenges of a minority government reliant on external support. Traders price the low probability of a Tidö majority accordingly, as current trends and seat projections leave little margin for reversal before voting.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
マーケット開始日： Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
音量
$5,115終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls show the Tidö parties—Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats—collectively projected at roughly 44-54% of the vote, short of the 175 seats needed for a Riksdag majority ahead of the 13 September 2026 election. The Social Democrats lead at around 32%, with the broader Red-Green bloc holding a consistent edge in aggregates from Novus, Demoskop, and Indikator Opinion. This positioning stems from sustained voter support for the opposition since the 2022 result, limited gains for the governing arrangement under Prime Minister Kristersson, and the structural challenges of a minority government reliant on external support. Traders price the low probability of a Tidö majority accordingly, as current trends and seat projections leave little margin for reversal before voting.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
音量
$5,115終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Swedish opinion polls show the Tidö parties—Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats—collectively projected at roughly 44-54% of the vote, short of the 175 seats needed for a Riksdag majority ahead of the 13 September 2026 election. The Social Democrats lead at around 32%, with the broader Red-Green bloc holding a consistent edge in aggregates from Novus, Demoskop, and Indikator Opinion. This positioning stems from sustained voter support for the opposition since the 2022 result, limited gains for the governing arrangement under Prime Minister Kristersson, and the structural challenges of a minority government reliant on external support. Traders price the low probability of a Tidö majority accordingly, as current trends and seat projections leave little margin for reversal before voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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