Skip to main content
icon for 2026年バンサモロ議会選挙:党優勝

2026年バンサモロ議会選挙:党優勝

icon for 2026年バンサモロ議会選挙:党優勝

2026年バンサモロ議会選挙:党優勝

BEST PARTY 50%

ABOT 43%

BAPA 43%

BFP 43%

Polymarket
新規

BEST PARTY 50%

ABOT 43%

BAPA 43%

BFP 43%

Polymarket
新規

BEST PARTY

$0 Vol.

50%

ABOT

$0 Vol.

43%

BAPA

$0 Vol.

43%

BFP

$0 Vol.

43%

BGC

$0 Vol.

43%

ISAMA

$0 Vol.

43%

マハルディカ

$0 Vol.

43%

MORO AKO

$0 Vol.

43%

ムシャワラ

$0 Vol.

43%

PBB

$0 Vol.

43%

プログレシボ・バンサモロ党

$0 Vol.

43%

RAAYAT民主党

$0 Vol.

43%

UBJP

$0 Vol.

43%

C4P

$0 Vol.

43%

TPWC

$0 Vol.

43%

LBIAA

$0 Vol.

43%

RSEU

$0 Vol.

43%

THE ROYALS

$0 Vol.

43%

ROHOSUMA

$0 Vol.

43%

ROHOSUPA

$0 Vol.

43%

RSL

$0 Vol.

43%

ISLPI

$0 Vol.

43%

DTLO

$0 Vol.

43%

選挙の延期・中止

$0 Vol.

43%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).The closely matched probabilities in the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market reflect a highly fragmented field of over two dozen accredited regional parties competing under a mixed electoral system of party-list seats, single-member districts, and sectoral representation ahead of the September 14 vote. Recent legislative action resetting the date via Republic Act 12317, ongoing Comelec security coordination with police and military, and pending Supreme Court petitions on procedural matters have sustained uncertainty. Clan-based dynamics, alliances among former rebel-linked groups such as UBJP and Bangsamoro Party, and commitments from multiple parties to peaceful conduct further prevent any single contender from consolidating trader consensus. Developments including finalized nominee lists, intensified security measures, or shifts in coalition negotiations could produce clearer separation in the weeks before polling.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.

If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/09/14
マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).The closely matched probabilities in the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market reflect a highly fragmented field of over two dozen accredited regional parties competing under a mixed electoral system of party-list seats, single-member districts, and sectoral representation ahead of the September 14 vote. Recent legislative action resetting the date via Republic Act 12317, ongoing Comelec security coordination with police and military, and pending Supreme Court petitions on procedural matters have sustained uncertainty. Clan-based dynamics, alliances among former rebel-linked groups such as UBJP and Bangsamoro Party, and commitments from multiple parties to peaceful conduct further prevent any single contender from consolidating trader consensus. Developments including finalized nominee lists, intensified security measures, or shifts in coalition negotiations could produce clearer separation in the weeks before polling.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.

If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/09/14
マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2026年バンサモロ議会選挙:党優勝」はPolymarket上の24個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「BEST PARTY」で50%、次いで「ABOT」が43%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、50¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に50%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「2026年バンサモロ議会選挙:党優勝」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 16, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「2026年バンサモロ議会選挙:党優勝」で取引するには、このページに記載されている24個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年バンサモロ議会選挙:党優勝」の現在のフロントランナーは「BEST PARTY」で50%であり、市場がこの結果に50%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ABOT」で43%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2026年バンサモロ議会選挙:党優勝」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。