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Politics·Primaries

AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner

icon for AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner

Daniel Keenan 44%

Mark Lamb 35.8%

Travis Grantham 1.8%

Jay Feely <1%

Polymarket

$54,467 Vol.

Daniel Keenan 44%

Mark Lamb 35.8%

Travis Grantham 1.8%

Jay Feely <1%

Polymarket

$54,467 Vol.

Daniel Keenan

$84 Vol.

44%

Mark Lamb

$8,093 Vol.

36%

Travis Grantham

$2,409 Vol.

2%

Jay Feely

$43,881 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb leads the AZ-05 Republican primary field at 49% in trader consensus, driven by his Trump endorsement secured in late 2025, prior name recognition from his Pinal County sheriff tenure and 2024 Senate bid, and strong early polling that placed him well ahead of rivals. Travis Grantham holds second at 22% on the strength of his legislative record as a former state representative, though his support has not kept pace with Lamb’s momentum. Jay Feely trails at 2.5% amid limited prior political experience. Key recent catalysts include candidate announcements in fall 2025 that crowded the open seat left by Rep. Andy Biggs and subsequent polling and endorsement developments that reinforced Lamb’s position ahead of the July 21 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$54,467
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb leads the AZ-05 Republican primary field at 49% in trader consensus, driven by his Trump endorsement secured in late 2025, prior name recognition from his Pinal County sheriff tenure and 2024 Senate bid, and strong early polling that placed him well ahead of rivals. Travis Grantham holds second at 22% on the strength of his legislative record as a former state representative, though his support has not kept pace with Lamb’s momentum. Jay Feely trails at 2.5% amid limited prior political experience. Key recent catalysts include candidate announcements in fall 2025 that crowded the open seat left by Rep. Andy Biggs and subsequent polling and endorsement developments that reinforced Lamb’s position ahead of the July 21 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$54,467
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Daniel Keenan」で44%、次いで「Mark Lamb」が36%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、44¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に44%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner」は$54.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 25, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Daniel Keenan」で44%であり、市場がこの結果に44%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Mark Lamb」で36%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。