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icon for ペルー選挙第2ラウンド:勝利のマージン? ( 0.1%括弧内)

ペルー選挙第2ラウンド:勝利のマージン? ( 0.1%括弧内)

icon for ペルー選挙第2ラウンド:勝利のマージン? ( 0.1%括弧内)

ペルー選挙第2ラウンド:勝利のマージン? ( 0.1%括弧内)

フジモリ 0.2〜0.3% 26%

フジモリ 0.3~0.4% 23%

フジモリ 0.1~0.2% 21%

フジモリ 0~0.1% 20%

Polymarket
新規

$251,032 Vol.

フジモリ 0.2〜0.3% 26%

フジモリ 0.3~0.4% 23%

フジモリ 0.1~0.2% 21%

フジモリ 0~0.1% 20%

Polymarket
新規

$251,032 Vol.

フジモリ1%以上

$6,384 Vol.

<1%

フジモリ 0.9〜1.0%

$3,929 Vol.

<1%

フジモリ 0.8~0.9%

$3,400 Vol.

<1%

フジモリ 0.7~0.8%

$5,255 Vol.

<1%

フジモリ 0.6〜0.7%

$4,555 Vol.

<1%

フジモリ 0.5~0.6%

$4,661 Vol.

<1%

フジモリ 0.4~0.5%

$21,115 Vol.

5%

フジモリ 0.3~0.4%

$35,370 Vol.

23%

フジモリ 0.2〜0.3%

$18,336 Vol.

26%

フジモリ 0.1~0.2%

$24,231 Vol.

21%

フジモリ 0~0.1%

$33,647 Vol.

20%

サンチェス 0~0.1%

$14,482 Vol.

4%

サンチェス 0.1〜0.2%

$11,476 Vol.

<1%

サンチェス 0.2~0.3%

$9,985 Vol.

<1%

サンチェス 0.3~0.4%

$7,746 Vol.

1%

サンチェス 0.4~0.5%

$6,786 Vol.

<1%

サンチェス 0.5~0.6%

$6,153 Vol.

<1%

サンチェス 0.6〜0.7%

$6,934 Vol.

<1%

サンチェス 0.7~0.8%

$9,593 Vol.

<1%

サンチェス 0.8~0.9%

$4,756 Vol.

<1%

サンチェス 0.9~1.0%

$4,631 Vol.

<1%

サンチェス 1%以上

$4,525 Vol.

<1%

その他

$6,649 Vol.

<1%

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The extremely close June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez has produced a statistical tie in partial results, with roughly 95 percent of ballots counted and margins under 0.2 percentage points as rural and Andean votes continue to offset Fujimori’s urban and coastal strength. Regional divides, polarized voter blocs, and a large share of contested ballots processed by special electoral juries sustain uncertainty over the final tally expected by July. Trader pricing concentrates on narrow Fujimori victory brackets because remaining counts and any recounts could still shift the outcome by fractions of a point while Sánchez’s current slim edge remains vulnerable to late urban or coastal adjustments.

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$251,032
マーケット開始日
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The extremely close June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez has produced a statistical tie in partial results, with roughly 95 percent of ballots counted and margins under 0.2 percentage points as rural and Andean votes continue to offset Fujimori’s urban and coastal strength. Regional divides, polarized voter blocs, and a large share of contested ballots processed by special electoral juries sustain uncertainty over the final tally expected by July. Trader pricing concentrates on narrow Fujimori victory brackets because remaining counts and any recounts could still shift the outcome by fractions of a point while Sánchez’s current slim edge remains vulnerable to late urban or coastal adjustments.

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$251,032
マーケット開始日
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ペルー選挙第2ラウンド:勝利のマージン? ( 0.1%括弧内)」はPolymarket上の23個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「フジモリ 0.2〜0.3%」で26%、次いで「フジモリ 0.3~0.4%」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、26¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に26%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ペルー選挙第2ラウンド:勝利のマージン? ( 0.1%括弧内)」は$251Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ペルー選挙第2ラウンド:勝利のマージン? ( 0.1%括弧内)」で取引するには、このページに記載されている23個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ペルー選挙第2ラウンド:勝利のマージン? ( 0.1%括弧内)」の現在のフロントランナーは「フジモリ 0.2〜0.3%」で26%であり、市場がこの結果に26%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「フジモリ 0.3~0.4%」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ペルー選挙第2ラウンド:勝利のマージン? ( 0.1%括弧内)」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。