Recent polling and candidate confirmations position Reform UK's Robert Kenyon as the clear frontrunner for second place in the 18 June Makerfield by-election. Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham, selected as Labour's candidate, holds a narrow lead in constituency surveys, while generic Westminster voting intention favors Reform. Kenyon, a local plumber and 2024 candidate, benefits from this dynamic and national momentum for his party. Other contenders, including Rebecca Shepherd, trail significantly in limited polling and lack comparable visibility or organizational backing ahead of nominations closing and the final campaign week. The by-election follows the resignation of the previous Labour MP.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Robert Kenyon 81%
Andy Burnham 7.0%
Rebecca Shepherd 5.5%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$56,354 Vol.
$56,354 Vol.
2026/06/18
Robert Kenyon
81%
Andy Burnham
7%
Rebecca Shepherd
6%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Robert Kenyon 81%
Andy Burnham 7.0%
Rebecca Shepherd 5.5%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$56,354 Vol.
$56,354 Vol.
2026/06/18
Robert Kenyon
$4,401 Vol.
81%
Andy Burnham
$2,687 Vol.
7%
Rebecca Shepherd
$45,062 Vol.
6%
Simon Finkelstein
$1,369 Vol.
<1%
John Skipworth
$1,074 Vol.
<1%
Maria Deery
$740 Vol.
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
$1,021 Vol.
<1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polling and candidate confirmations position Reform UK's Robert Kenyon as the clear frontrunner for second place in the 18 June Makerfield by-election. Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham, selected as Labour's candidate, holds a narrow lead in constituency surveys, while generic Westminster voting intention favors Reform. Kenyon, a local plumber and 2024 candidate, benefits from this dynamic and national momentum for his party. Other contenders, including Rebecca Shepherd, trail significantly in limited polling and lack comparable visibility or organizational backing ahead of nominations closing and the final campaign week. The by-election follows the resignation of the previous Labour MP.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
マーケット開始日： May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
音量
$56,354終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polling and candidate confirmations position Reform UK's Robert Kenyon as the clear frontrunner for second place in the 18 June Makerfield by-election. Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham, selected as Labour's candidate, holds a narrow lead in constituency surveys, while generic Westminster voting intention favors Reform. Kenyon, a local plumber and 2024 candidate, benefits from this dynamic and national momentum for his party. Other contenders, including Rebecca Shepherd, trail significantly in limited polling and lack comparable visibility or organizational backing ahead of nominations closing and the final campaign week. The by-election follows the resignation of the previous Labour MP.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
音量
$56,354終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and candidate confirmations position Reform UK's Robert Kenyon as the clear frontrunner for second place in the 18 June Makerfield by-election. Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham, selected as Labour's candidate, holds a narrow lead in constituency surveys, while generic Westminster voting intention favors Reform. Kenyon, a local plumber and 2024 candidate, benefits from this dynamic and national momentum for his party. Other contenders, including Rebecca Shepherd, trail significantly in limited polling and lack comparable visibility or organizational backing ahead of nominations closing and the final campaign week. The by-election follows the resignation of the previous Labour MP.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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