Recent leadership transition has reshaped expectations for the next UK general election. Keir Starmer resigned after Labour's heavy losses in the May 2026 local elections, with Andy Burnham taking over as party leader and prime minister in July. Labour retains its Commons majority, removing any immediate need to dissolve Parliament, but trailing polls and public pressure for a fresh mandate create incentives to time the contest strategically. Traders see June 2027 as the leading outcome because the new government is likely to stabilize first and avoid an early vote while behind in voter sentiment. The fixed five-year term sets an outer limit of August 2029, yet the prime minister's flexibility under current rules means any shift in economic conditions or by-election results could accelerate or delay the call.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日英国の選挙は...によって召集されましたか？
英国の選挙は...によって召集されましたか？
$819,866 Vol.
2026/12/31
December 31, 2026
15%
June 30, 2027
31%
$819,866 Vol.
December 31, 2026
$24,753 Vol.
15%
June 30, 2027
$3,965 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent leadership transition has reshaped expectations for the next UK general election. Keir Starmer resigned after Labour's heavy losses in the May 2026 local elections, with Andy Burnham taking over as party leader and prime minister in July. Labour retains its Commons majority, removing any immediate need to dissolve Parliament, but trailing polls and public pressure for a fresh mandate create incentives to time the contest strategically. Traders see June 2027 as the leading outcome because the new government is likely to stabilize first and avoid an early vote while behind in voter sentiment. The fixed five-year term sets an outer limit of August 2029, yet the prime minister's flexibility under current rules means any shift in economic conditions or by-election results could accelerate or delay the call.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
音量
$819,866終了日
2025/12/31マーケット開始日
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent leadership transition has reshaped expectations for the next UK general election. Keir Starmer resigned after Labour's heavy losses in the May 2026 local elections, with Andy Burnham taking over as party leader and prime minister in July. Labour retains its Commons majority, removing any immediate need to dissolve Parliament, but trailing polls and public pressure for a fresh mandate create incentives to time the contest strategically. Traders see June 2027 as the leading outcome because the new government is likely to stabilize first and avoid an early vote while behind in voter sentiment. The fixed five-year term sets an outer limit of August 2029, yet the prime minister's flexibility under current rules means any shift in economic conditions or by-election results could accelerate or delay the call.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$819,866終了日
2025/12/31マーケット開始日
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent leadership transition has reshaped expectations for the next UK general election. Keir Starmer resigned after Labour's heavy losses in the May 2026 local elections, with Andy Burnham taking over as party leader and prime minister in July. Labour retains its Commons majority, removing any immediate need to dissolve Parliament, but trailing polls and public pressure for a fresh mandate create incentives to time the contest strategically. Traders see June 2027 as the leading outcome because the new government is likely to stabilize first and avoid an early vote while behind in voter sentiment. The fixed five-year term sets an outer limit of August 2029, yet the prime minister's flexibility under current rules means any shift in economic conditions or by-election results could accelerate or delay the call.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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