Andy Burnham’s July 2026 ascension after Keir Starmer’s resignation amid collapsing approval ratings and local election losses has reset the timeline, anchoring trader consensus at two prime ministers by end-2027. Labour’s large Commons majority from 2024 removes any immediate need for a general election before 2029, while recent September polling shows the party holding a narrow lead over Reform UK despite widespread government dissatisfaction. With no major economic shocks, by-election routs, or credible internal challenges materializing since the transition, the market assigns only modest odds to a third leader. A further change would require either an early poll or rapid erosion of Burnham’s position—scenarios viewed as low-probability given current stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
2 87%
3 13%
4+ <1%
$143,163 Vol.
$143,163 Vol.
2027/12/31
2
87%
3
13%
4+
1%
2 87%
3 13%
4+ <1%
$143,163 Vol.
$143,163 Vol.
2027/12/31
2
$90,743 Vol.
87%
3
$35,812 Vol.
13%
4+
$12,045 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andy Burnham’s July 2026 ascension after Keir Starmer’s resignation amid collapsing approval ratings and local election losses has reset the timeline, anchoring trader consensus at two prime ministers by end-2027. Labour’s large Commons majority from 2024 removes any immediate need for a general election before 2029, while recent September polling shows the party holding a narrow lead over Reform UK despite widespread government dissatisfaction. With no major economic shocks, by-election routs, or credible internal challenges materializing since the transition, the market assigns only modest odds to a third leader. A further change would require either an early poll or rapid erosion of Burnham’s position—scenarios viewed as low-probability given current stability.
This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 6, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
音量
$143,163終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 6, 2026, 5:21 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andy Burnham’s July 2026 ascension after Keir Starmer’s resignation amid collapsing approval ratings and local election losses has reset the timeline, anchoring trader consensus at two prime ministers by end-2027. Labour’s large Commons majority from 2024 removes any immediate need for a general election before 2029, while recent September polling shows the party holding a narrow lead over Reform UK despite widespread government dissatisfaction. With no major economic shocks, by-election routs, or credible internal challenges materializing since the transition, the market assigns only modest odds to a third leader. A further change would require either an early poll or rapid erosion of Burnham’s position—scenarios viewed as low-probability given current stability.
This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$143,163終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 6, 2026, 5:21 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Andy Burnham’s July 2026 ascension after Keir Starmer’s resignation amid collapsing approval ratings and local election losses has reset the timeline, anchoring trader consensus at two prime ministers by end-2027. Labour’s large Commons majority from 2024 removes any immediate need for a general election before 2029, while recent September polling shows the party holding a narrow lead over Reform UK despite widespread government dissatisfaction. With no major economic shocks, by-election routs, or credible internal challenges materializing since the transition, the market assigns only modest odds to a third leader. A further change would require either an early poll or rapid erosion of Burnham’s position—scenarios viewed as low-probability given current stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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