Recent energy price surges from Middle East supply disruptions have lifted UK CPI to 3.3% year-over-year in March, keeping Bank Rate at 3.75% after the April 30 hold and anchoring market-implied odds at 87% for no change on June 18. Traders see the Monetary Policy Committee balancing above-target inflation against softening wage growth and downgraded GDP forecasts, with only 12.5% odds on a 25 basis point hike reflecting limited upside risks priced in by futures markets. Key near-term catalysts include the May labor report and April CPI release, which could shift the implied policy path ahead of the next decision.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日変更なし 87%
25ベーシスポイントの引き上げ 13%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ <1%
25ベーシスポイントの引き下げ <1%
$125,837 Vol.
$125,837 Vol.
2026/06/18
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ
<1%
25ベーシスポイントの引き下げ
<1%
変更なし
87%
25ベーシスポイントの引き上げ
13%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利上げ
<1%
変更なし 87%
25ベーシスポイントの引き上げ 13%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ <1%
25ベーシスポイントの引き下げ <1%
$125,837 Vol.
$125,837 Vol.
2026/06/18
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ
$15,087 Vol.
<1%
25ベーシスポイントの引き下げ
$23,669 Vol.
<1%
変更なし
$29,410 Vol.
87%
25ベーシスポイントの引き上げ
$39,793 Vol.
13%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利上げ
$17,878 Vol.
<1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent energy price surges from Middle East supply disruptions have lifted UK CPI to 3.3% year-over-year in March, keeping Bank Rate at 3.75% after the April 30 hold and anchoring market-implied odds at 87% for no change on June 18. Traders see the Monetary Policy Committee balancing above-target inflation against softening wage growth and downgraded GDP forecasts, with only 12.5% odds on a 25 basis point hike reflecting limited upside risks priced in by futures markets. Key near-term catalysts include the May labor report and April CPI release, which could shift the implied policy path ahead of the next decision.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
音量
$125,837終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent energy price surges from Middle East supply disruptions have lifted UK CPI to 3.3% year-over-year in March, keeping Bank Rate at 3.75% after the April 30 hold and anchoring market-implied odds at 87% for no change on June 18. Traders see the Monetary Policy Committee balancing above-target inflation against softening wage growth and downgraded GDP forecasts, with only 12.5% odds on a 25 basis point hike reflecting limited upside risks priced in by futures markets. Key near-term catalysts include the May labor report and April CPI release, which could shift the implied policy path ahead of the next decision.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$125,837終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent energy price surges from Middle East supply disruptions have lifted UK CPI to 3.3% year-over-year in March, keeping Bank Rate at 3.75% after the April 30 hold and anchoring market-implied odds at 87% for no change on June 18. Traders see the Monetary Policy Committee balancing above-target inflation against softening wage growth and downgraded GDP forecasts, with only 12.5% odds on a 25 basis point hike reflecting limited upside risks priced in by futures markets. Key near-term catalysts include the May labor report and April CPI release, which could shift the implied policy path ahead of the next decision.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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