Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the San Francisco metro area's median home value (Zillow ZHVI) on May 31, 2026, in a tight $1.228M–$1.27M range, with sub-$1.228M holding a slim 20% implied probability amid balanced positioning across bins. Surging AI-driven demand propelled March metro median sale prices up 14.4% year-over-year to a record $1.72M per Redfin, fueled by tech wealth and chronically low inventory—new listings rose modestly but homes sell rapidly, often over asking. Differentiating factors include April's persistent supply constraints versus national affordability pressures from elevated mortgage rates near 7%, with May pending sales and economic data as key swing catalysts before month-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?
What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?
<1.228m 23%
1.228 - 1.238m 20%
1.249 - 1.259m 19%
1.238 - 1.249m 18%
新規
新規
2026/05/31
<1.228m
23%
1.228 - 1.238m
20%
1.238 - 1.249m
21%
1.249 - 1.259m
19%
1.259 - 1.27m
15%
1.27 - 1.28m
7%
1.28 - 1.301m
7%
>1.301m
7%
<1.228m 23%
1.228 - 1.238m 20%
1.249 - 1.259m 19%
1.238 - 1.249m 18%
新規
新規
2026/05/31
<1.228m
$155 Vol.
23%
1.228 - 1.238m
$50 Vol.
20%
1.238 - 1.249m
$430 Vol.
21%
1.249 - 1.259m
$1,325 Vol.
19%
1.259 - 1.27m
$0 Vol.
15%
1.27 - 1.28m
$0 Vol.
7%
1.28 - 1.301m
$0 Vol.
7%
>1.301m
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the San Francisco metro area's median home value (Zillow ZHVI) on May 31, 2026, in a tight $1.228M–$1.27M range, with sub-$1.228M holding a slim 20% implied probability amid balanced positioning across bins. Surging AI-driven demand propelled March metro median sale prices up 14.4% year-over-year to a record $1.72M per Redfin, fueled by tech wealth and chronically low inventory—new listings rose modestly but homes sell rapidly, often over asking. Differentiating factors include April's persistent supply constraints versus national affordability pressures from elevated mortgage rates near 7%, with May pending sales and economic data as key swing catalysts before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
音量
$1,960終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the San Francisco metro area's median home value (Zillow ZHVI) on May 31, 2026, in a tight $1.228M–$1.27M range, with sub-$1.228M holding a slim 20% implied probability amid balanced positioning across bins. Surging AI-driven demand propelled March metro median sale prices up 14.4% year-over-year to a record $1.72M per Redfin, fueled by tech wealth and chronically low inventory—new listings rose modestly but homes sell rapidly, often over asking. Differentiating factors include April's persistent supply constraints versus national affordability pressures from elevated mortgage rates near 7%, with May pending sales and economic data as key swing catalysts before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
音量
$1,960終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the San Francisco metro area's median home value (Zillow ZHVI) on May 31, 2026, in a tight $1.228M–$1.27M range, with sub-$1.228M holding a slim 20% implied probability amid balanced positioning across bins. Surging AI-driven demand propelled March metro median sale prices up 14.4% year-over-year to a record $1.72M per Redfin, fueled by tech wealth and chronically low inventory—new listings rose modestly but homes sell rapidly, often over asking. Differentiating factors include April's persistent supply constraints versus national affordability pressures from elevated mortgage rates near 7%, with May pending sales and economic data as key swing catalysts before month-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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