Recent polling in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, has placed Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd between 7% and 13%, with Survation showing 7% and a Telegraph-reported survey at 13%. These results reflect competition from Reform UK for right-wing voters, limited national name recognition for the new party founded by Rupert Lowe, and a short campaign period focused on local issues such as anti-social behaviour and development. Trader consensus favoring “No” aligns with this mixed but mostly sub-10% polling evidence and the structural challenge of breaking through in a constituency dominated by Labour and Reform contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$17,506 Vol.
$17,506 Vol.
2026/06/18
はい
$17,506 Vol.
$17,506 Vol.
2026/06/18
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polling in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, has placed Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd between 7% and 13%, with Survation showing 7% and a Telegraph-reported survey at 13%. These results reflect competition from Reform UK for right-wing voters, limited national name recognition for the new party founded by Rupert Lowe, and a short campaign period focused on local issues such as anti-social behaviour and development. Trader consensus favoring “No” aligns with this mixed but mostly sub-10% polling evidence and the structural challenge of breaking through in a constituency dominated by Labour and Reform contenders.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
マーケット開始日： Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
音量
$17,506終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polling in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, has placed Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd between 7% and 13%, with Survation showing 7% and a Telegraph-reported survey at 13%. These results reflect competition from Reform UK for right-wing voters, limited national name recognition for the new party founded by Rupert Lowe, and a short campaign period focused on local issues such as anti-social behaviour and development. Trader consensus favoring “No” aligns with this mixed but mostly sub-10% polling evidence and the structural challenge of breaking through in a constituency dominated by Labour and Reform contenders.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
音量
$17,506終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, has placed Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd between 7% and 13%, with Survation showing 7% and a Telegraph-reported survey at 13%. These results reflect competition from Reform UK for right-wing voters, limited national name recognition for the new party founded by Rupert Lowe, and a short campaign period focused on local issues such as anti-social behaviour and development. Trader consensus favoring “No” aligns with this mixed but mostly sub-10% polling evidence and the structural challenge of breaking through in a constituency dominated by Labour and Reform contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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