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icon for ペルー大統領選挙決選投票: JNEが結果を証明するのは… ?

ペルー大統領選挙決選投票: JNEが結果を証明するのは… ?

icon for ペルー大統領選挙決選投票: JNEが結果を証明するのは… ?

ペルー大統領選挙決選投票: JNEが結果を証明するのは… ?

新規
2026/07/01
Polymarket

$3 Vol.

Polymarket

6月30日

$3 Vol.

43%

7月15日

$0 Vol.

52%

7月27日

$0 Vol.

57%

The second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections were held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Jury of Elections of Peru (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) publishes a proclamation of election results (proclamación de resultados) for the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections are invalidated or annulled, or a new general election or runoff is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the June 7, 2026, election, this market will resolve to "No". Any official proclamation from the JNE which specifies the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections will qualify for the purposes of this market. An example from 2021 can be found here: https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal_documentos/files/637a2dda-73ba-4abc-95bf-294f14d454bb.pdf. The primary resolution source will be information from the Peruvian government, including the JNE.Peru's June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez produced an exceptionally narrow margin, with ONPE reporting roughly 96% of ballots counted as of June 9 and the lead fluctuating within tens of thousands of votes amid rural, overseas, and challenged ballots. This technical tie has extended the tally process, as authorities review approximately 500,000 contested votes and complete the remaining count projected for July. The JNE, responsible for official certification and proclamation, follows ONPE's full tabulation under established electoral rules, with no major procedural disputes reported in the immediate post-runoff period. Historical patterns from prior Peruvian elections indicate certification often occurs weeks after voting when margins are tight, positioning the timeline around mid-to-late July absent accelerated review or additional challenges.

The second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections were held on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Jury of Elections of Peru (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) publishes a proclamation of election results (proclamación de resultados) for the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections are invalidated or annulled, or a new general election or runoff is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the June 7, 2026, election, this market will resolve to "No".

Any official proclamation from the JNE which specifies the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections will qualify for the purposes of this market. An example from 2021 can be found here: https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal_documentos/files/637a2dda-73ba-4abc-95bf-294f14d454bb.pdf.

The primary resolution source will be information from the Peruvian government, including the JNE.
音量
$3
終了日
2026/07/28
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
The second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections were held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Jury of Elections of Peru (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) publishes a proclamation of election results (proclamación de resultados) for the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections are invalidated or annulled, or a new general election or runoff is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the June 7, 2026, election, this market will resolve to "No". Any official proclamation from the JNE which specifies the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections will qualify for the purposes of this market. An example from 2021 can be found here: https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal_documentos/files/637a2dda-73ba-4abc-95bf-294f14d454bb.pdf. The primary resolution source will be information from the Peruvian government, including the JNE.
The second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections were held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Jury of Elections of Peru (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) publishes a proclamation of election results (proclamación de resultados) for the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections are invalidated or annulled, or a new general election or runoff is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the June 7, 2026, election, this market will resolve to "No". Any official proclamation from the JNE which specifies the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections will qualify for the purposes of this market. An example from 2021 can be found here: https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal_documentos/files/637a2dda-73ba-4abc-95bf-294f14d454bb.pdf. The primary resolution source will be information from the Peruvian government, including the JNE.Peru's June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez produced an exceptionally narrow margin, with ONPE reporting roughly 96% of ballots counted as of June 9 and the lead fluctuating within tens of thousands of votes amid rural, overseas, and challenged ballots. This technical tie has extended the tally process, as authorities review approximately 500,000 contested votes and complete the remaining count projected for July. The JNE, responsible for official certification and proclamation, follows ONPE's full tabulation under established electoral rules, with no major procedural disputes reported in the immediate post-runoff period. Historical patterns from prior Peruvian elections indicate certification often occurs weeks after voting when margins are tight, positioning the timeline around mid-to-late July absent accelerated review or additional challenges.

The second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections were held on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Jury of Elections of Peru (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) publishes a proclamation of election results (proclamación de resultados) for the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections are invalidated or annulled, or a new general election or runoff is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the June 7, 2026, election, this market will resolve to "No".

Any official proclamation from the JNE which specifies the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections will qualify for the purposes of this market. An example from 2021 can be found here: https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal_documentos/files/637a2dda-73ba-4abc-95bf-294f14d454bb.pdf.

The primary resolution source will be information from the Peruvian government, including the JNE.
音量
$3
終了日
2026/07/28
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
The second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections were held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Jury of Elections of Peru (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) publishes a proclamation of election results (proclamación de resultados) for the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections are invalidated or annulled, or a new general election or runoff is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the June 7, 2026, election, this market will resolve to "No". Any official proclamation from the JNE which specifies the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections will qualify for the purposes of this market. An example from 2021 can be found here: https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal_documentos/files/637a2dda-73ba-4abc-95bf-294f14d454bb.pdf. The primary resolution source will be information from the Peruvian government, including the JNE.

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「ペルー大統領選挙決選投票: JNEが結果を証明するのは… ?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「7月27日」で57%、次いで「7月15日」が52%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、57¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に57%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

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「ペルー大統領選挙決選投票: JNEが結果を証明するのは… ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「7月27日」で57%であり、市場がこの結果に57%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「7月15日」で52%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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