Romania's recent political crisis, triggered by the May 5 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's minority coalition, has left the field for the next prime minister unusually fragmented. President Nicușor Dan's ongoing consultations with parliamentary parties emphasize the need for a nominee who can secure a majority in a confidence vote, favoring candidates with cross-party viability amid austerity disputes and coalition realignments. This dynamic keeps probabilities closely bunched among top contenders, as no bloc commands an outright majority and technocrat or continuity options from major parties like PSD and PNL compete for support. Fresh negotiations in the coming weeks could shift odds if a viable governing arrangement emerges before the market's resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日セルバン・マテイ 17.8%
ラドゥ・ブルネテ 10%
Sorin Grindeanu 10%
Cătălin Predoiu 7%
$530,161 Vol.
$530,161 Vol.
セルバン・マテイ
18%
ラドゥ・ブルネテ
10%
Sorin Grindeanu
10%
Cătălin Predoiu
7%
Anca Dragu
2%
ダン・モトレアヌ
2%
アレクサンドル・ナザレ
1%
アレクサンドル・ロゴベテ
1%
George Simion
1%
Ilie Bolojan
1%
チプリアン・チウク
1%
Ionuț Dumitru
1%
Delia Velculescu
1%
Mugur Isărescu
<1%
Mircea Geoană
<1%
Lucian Isar
<1%
Marcel Ciolacu
<1%
Alexandru Rafila
<1%
Sebastian Burduja
<1%
Elena Lasconi
<1%
Cătălin Drulă
<1%
Vasile Dîncu
<1%
Dacian Cioloș
<1%
Emil Boc
<1%
Dominic Fritz
<1%
Raluca Turcan
<1%
Lucian Croitoru
<1%
Nicolae Ciucă
<1%
フンオル・ケレメン
<1%
カリン・ジョルジェスク
<1%
ドラゴシュ・ピスラル
<1%
トライアン・バセスク
<1%
セルバン・マテイ 17.8%
ラドゥ・ブルネテ 10%
Sorin Grindeanu 10%
Cătălin Predoiu 7%
$530,161 Vol.
$530,161 Vol.
セルバン・マテイ
18%
ラドゥ・ブルネテ
10%
Sorin Grindeanu
10%
Cătălin Predoiu
7%
Anca Dragu
2%
ダン・モトレアヌ
2%
アレクサンドル・ナザレ
1%
アレクサンドル・ロゴベテ
1%
George Simion
1%
Ilie Bolojan
1%
チプリアン・チウク
1%
Ionuț Dumitru
1%
Delia Velculescu
1%
Mugur Isărescu
<1%
Mircea Geoană
<1%
Lucian Isar
<1%
Marcel Ciolacu
<1%
Alexandru Rafila
<1%
Sebastian Burduja
<1%
Elena Lasconi
<1%
Cătălin Drulă
<1%
Vasile Dîncu
<1%
Dacian Cioloș
<1%
Emil Boc
<1%
Dominic Fritz
<1%
Raluca Turcan
<1%
Lucian Croitoru
<1%
Nicolae Ciucă
<1%
フンオル・ケレメン
<1%
カリン・ジョルジェスク
<1%
ドラゴシュ・ピスラル
<1%
トライアン・バセスク
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Romania's recent political crisis, triggered by the May 5 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's minority coalition, has left the field for the next prime minister unusually fragmented. President Nicușor Dan's ongoing consultations with parliamentary parties emphasize the need for a nominee who can secure a majority in a confidence vote, favoring candidates with cross-party viability amid austerity disputes and coalition realignments. This dynamic keeps probabilities closely bunched among top contenders, as no bloc commands an outright majority and technocrat or continuity options from major parties like PSD and PNL compete for support. Fresh negotiations in the coming weeks could shift odds if a viable governing arrangement emerges before the market's resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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