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icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
政治·フランスの選挙

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
政治·フランスの選挙

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

新規
2027/04/30
Polymarket

$3,925 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$232 Vol.

16%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$831 Vol.

68%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$60 Vol.

5%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$181 Vol.

45%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$15 Vol.

5%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$164 Vol.

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$55 Vol.

3%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$126 Vol.

3%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$0 Vol.

16%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$200 Vol.

8%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$21 Vol.

6%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 Vol.

14%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$354 Vol.

45%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$10 Vol.

4%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$100 Vol.

4%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$83 Vol.

2%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$54 Vol.

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$74 Vol.

4%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$208 Vol.

4%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$105 Vol.

1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$0 Vol.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$57 Vol.

3%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$57 Vol.

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$12 Vol.

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$50 Vol.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$85 Vol.

3%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$152 Vol.

4%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$50 Vol.

6%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$71 Vol.

4%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$56 Vol.

6%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$50 Vol.

4%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$50 Vol.

3%

icon for Other

Other

$92 Vol.

33%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$38 Vol.

4%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$121 Vol.

3%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$81 Vol.

4%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$6 Vol.

4%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling by a wide margin ahead of the April 2027 vote, reflecting the party's sustained strength in recent legislative contests and voter consolidation on the right. Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise has shown recent gains in surveys, while center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe remain competitive amid a crowded field that includes Gabriel Attal and Bruno Retailleau. Marine Le Pen's pending appeal on her embezzlement conviction, due around July 2026, could solidify Bardella as the party's nominee. Fragmentation across the center, traditional right, and left—exacerbated by disagreements over alliances and primaries scheduled for October 2026 on the left—keeps the identity of the second-round qualifier fluid, with traders watching for shifts in polling averages and candidate consolidation.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
音量
$3,925
終了日
2027/04/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling by a wide margin ahead of the April 2027 vote, reflecting the party's sustained strength in recent legislative contests and voter consolidation on the right. Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise has shown recent gains in surveys, while center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe remain competitive amid a crowded field that includes Gabriel Attal and Bruno Retailleau. Marine Le Pen's pending appeal on her embezzlement conviction, due around July 2026, could solidify Bardella as the party's nominee. Fragmentation across the center, traditional right, and left—exacerbated by disagreements over alliances and primaries scheduled for October 2026 on the left—keeps the identity of the second-round qualifier fluid, with traders watching for shifts in polling averages and candidate consolidation.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
音量
$3,925
終了日
2027/04/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?」はPolymarket上の37個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Jordan Bardella」で68%、次いで「Édouard Philippe」が45%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、68¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に68%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jun 1, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている37個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Jordan Bardella」で68%であり、市場がこの結果に68%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Édouard Philippe」で45%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。