The upcoming 18 June by-election for the Arbroath and Broughty Ferry UK parliamentary seat, triggered by the SNP incumbent’s move to the Scottish Parliament, features a five-candidate field that has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered. Recent candidate selections for the SNP, Labour, Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and Reform UK occurred within a compressed campaign window, with limited constituency-specific polling available to clarify vote splits. First-past-the-post rules and the area’s mixed urban-rural profile, where recent Holyrood results showed competitive SNP-Labour dynamics alongside Reform support, contribute to the even pricing across leading individuals. Any shift in late-campaign turnout, endorsements or national party momentum could separate the frontrunners before polling day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ララ・バード 41%
ヘザー・ドラン 41%
ビル・リード 40%
ジャック・クルックシャンクス 40%
新規
新規
2026/06/19
ララ・バード
41%
ヘザー・ドラン
41%
ビル・リード
40%
ジャック・クルックシャンクス
40%
タンヴィール・アフマド
40%
ララ・バード 41%
ヘザー・ドラン 41%
ビル・リード 40%
ジャック・クルックシャンクス 40%
新規
新規
2026/06/19
ララ・バード
$0 Vol.
41%
ヘザー・ドラン
$0 Vol.
41%
ビル・リード
$0 Vol.
40%
ジャック・クルックシャンクス
$0 Vol.
40%
タンヴィール・アフマド
$21 Vol.
40%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Arbroath and Broughty Ferry is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).The upcoming 18 June by-election for the Arbroath and Broughty Ferry UK parliamentary seat, triggered by the SNP incumbent’s move to the Scottish Parliament, features a five-candidate field that has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered. Recent candidate selections for the SNP, Labour, Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and Reform UK occurred within a compressed campaign window, with limited constituency-specific polling available to clarify vote splits. First-past-the-post rules and the area’s mixed urban-rural profile, where recent Holyrood results showed competitive SNP-Labour dynamics alongside Reform support, contribute to the even pricing across leading individuals. Any shift in late-campaign turnout, endorsements or national party momentum could separate the frontrunners before polling day.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Arbroath and Broughty Ferry is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
音量
$21終了日
2026/06/19マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Arbroath and Broughty Ferry is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).The upcoming 18 June by-election for the Arbroath and Broughty Ferry UK parliamentary seat, triggered by the SNP incumbent’s move to the Scottish Parliament, features a five-candidate field that has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered. Recent candidate selections for the SNP, Labour, Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and Reform UK occurred within a compressed campaign window, with limited constituency-specific polling available to clarify vote splits. First-past-the-post rules and the area’s mixed urban-rural profile, where recent Holyrood results showed competitive SNP-Labour dynamics alongside Reform support, contribute to the even pricing across leading individuals. Any shift in late-campaign turnout, endorsements or national party momentum could separate the frontrunners before polling day.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Arbroath and Broughty Ferry is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).
音量
$21終了日
2026/06/19マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The upcoming 18 June by-election for the Arbroath and Broughty Ferry UK parliamentary seat, triggered by the SNP incumbent’s move to the Scottish Parliament, features a five-candidate field that has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered. Recent candidate selections for the SNP, Labour, Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and Reform UK occurred within a compressed campaign window, with limited constituency-specific polling available to clarify vote splits. First-past-the-post rules and the area’s mixed urban-rural profile, where recent Holyrood results showed competitive SNP-Labour dynamics alongside Reform support, contribute to the even pricing across leading individuals. Any shift in late-campaign turnout, endorsements or national party momentum could separate the frontrunners before polling day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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