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icon for スペンサー・プラットは…で譲歩しますか？
政治·不正行為

スペンサー・プラットは…で譲歩しますか？

icon for スペンサー・プラットは…で譲歩しますか？
政治·不正行為

スペンサー・プラットは…で譲歩しますか？

$18,001 Vol.

2026/06/16
Polymarket

$18,001 Vol.

Polymarket

6月15日

$10,033 Vol.

40%

7月2日

$3,311 Vol.

54%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary behind Karen Bass and Nithya Raman after mail ballots shifted the second spot during extended counting. Traders have focused on whether Pratt would formally concede the non-advancement or prolong uncertainty, given his early pledge to leave the city if defeated and public pressure from Donald Trump’s unfounded fraud claims. Pratt delayed acknowledgment through June 11 while questioning ongoing tallies, then posted a June 12 video stating the campaign phase of his effort had ended, accepting the outcome without contesting results, and vowing continued attacks on the runoff candidates. This timeline has driven rapid repricing on dated concession markets, with later deadlines now reflecting higher implied probabilities based on the observed statement and absence of legal challenges.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.

Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.

Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
音量
$18,001
終了日
2026/07/03
マーケット開始日
Jun 8, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary behind Karen Bass and Nithya Raman after mail ballots shifted the second spot during extended counting. Traders have focused on whether Pratt would formally concede the non-advancement or prolong uncertainty, given his early pledge to leave the city if defeated and public pressure from Donald Trump’s unfounded fraud claims. Pratt delayed acknowledgment through June 11 while questioning ongoing tallies, then posted a June 12 video stating the campaign phase of his effort had ended, accepting the outcome without contesting results, and vowing continued attacks on the runoff candidates. This timeline has driven rapid repricing on dated concession markets, with later deadlines now reflecting higher implied probabilities based on the observed statement and absence of legal challenges.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.

Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.

Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
音量
$18,001
終了日
2026/07/03
マーケット開始日
Jun 8, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

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よくある質問

「スペンサー・プラットは…で譲歩しますか？」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「7月2日」で54%、次いで「6月15日」が40%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、54¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に54%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「スペンサー・プラットは…で譲歩しますか？」は$18Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jun 8, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「スペンサー・プラットは…で譲歩しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「スペンサー・プラットは…で譲歩しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「7月2日」で54%であり、市場がこの結果に54%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「6月15日」で40%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「スペンサー・プラットは…で譲歩しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。